[Ken H]

d) 2a. Heathcare Mandate (6-3 against) 2b. Heathcare Servability (5-4 against)

We want SCOTUS to rule against severability, right? That would mean the whole thing gets shot down?

[John W]

Yes.

[Sacajaweau]

The whole thing will get shot down. I remember one of the justices saying if you think I’m going to read it, you’re nuts. He just said it better.

[DrC]

“We want SCOTUS to rule against severability, right? That would mean the whole thing gets shot down?”

Yes, although 68% of SCOTUS experts think the mandate is severable—i.e., only 1/3 think the whole thing will get shot down. But 56% think the mandate will get axed. These experts have roughly a .600 batting average in predicting SCOTUS outcomes.
http://www.fantasyscotus.net/healthcare-case-predictions/

In contrast, at Intrade, betting is 80% that the mandate is going down.