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To: jimbo123
FWIW
Intrade is a betting website. They have a very good record at predicting outcomes. They have ObamaCare very likely to be declared unconstitutional.

The US Supreme Court to rule individual mandate unconstitutional before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012 (78.2% Chance)

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

8 posted on 06/24/2012 4:35:57 AM PDT by preacher (Communism has only killed 100 million people: Let's give it another chance!)
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To: preacher

Considering InTrade has Obama being re-elected at 53.9%, I think the credibility of that system is quite suspect .....


15 posted on 06/24/2012 4:53:53 AM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: preacher

“The US Supreme Court to rule individual mandate unconstitutional before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012 (78.2% Chance)”

57% of former SC law clerks also think the mandate will be turned down. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/poll-former-supreme-court-clerks-think-the-mandate-is-done-for/2012/06/21/gJQAYn8ZtV_blog.html

Likewise, 57% of SCOTUS-watchers at FantasySCOTUS predict the mandate will be turned down. http://www.fantasyscotus.net/healthcare-case-predictions/ This latter group bats around .600 in making predictions about SCOTUS. Note that only 1/3 believe the mandate is not severable, i.e., that if the mandate goes, everything will be struck down.

Thus, the most likely outcome is that part(s) of the law will be voided, leaving the rest of the ugly mess behind. Republicans will need to do the rest of the heavy lifting when it comes to eradicating this turkey.


37 posted on 06/24/2012 11:58:26 AM PDT by DrC
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