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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Ras: Mitt retakes the lead, +2 over Obama)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | Monday, 2 July 2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 07/02/2012 6:55:28 AM PDT by ScottinVA

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). See tracking history.

While the Supreme Court declared that the president’s health care law is constitutional, they were unable to make it popular. Fifty-two percent (52%) still favor repeal of the law. That’s little changed from a week ago and little changed since the law was passed more than two years ago. However, while most voters still hope for repeal, the belief that it will happen has fallen sharply. Just 39% now believe repeal is even somewhat likely, down from 61% last week.

Ratings for the Supreme Court have slipped since the health care ruling. A week ago, 36% said the high court was doing a good or an excellent job. That’s down to 33% today. The big change is a rise in negative perceptions. Today, 28% say the court is doing a poor job. That’s up 11 points over the past week.

A growing number (56%) now believe the Justices pursue their own agenda rather than ruling on an impartial basis. Also, the number who see the Court as too liberal is up while the number who see it as too conservative is down. The Court’s ratings are slipping at a time when just 22% believe the government has the consent of the governed.

Political analyst Michael Barone writes that even though the health care law survived, the political playing field has changed. “It's not a winning issue for the incumbent.”

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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Whatever "bounce" Obama got after Thursday's SCOTUS ruling seems to have dissipated. Current numbers:

Strong approval: 25 Strong disapproval: 44

Overall approval: 46 Overall disapproval: 53

1 posted on 07/02/2012 6:55:36 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: ScottinVA

This must be wrong. Chucky Schumer said hc is a loser for the GOP


2 posted on 07/02/2012 6:57:54 AM PDT by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: ScottinVA

Can’t buy me love
Everybody tells me so
Can’t buy me love
No, no, no, no


3 posted on 07/02/2012 6:57:55 AM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: ScottinVA

I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again. Romney, if he really cares about our country, can go down as one of the most important Presidents in recent history. It all depends on what he really wants to accomplish and if he’s not going to bend to the politicians.


4 posted on 07/02/2012 7:00:37 AM PDT by RC2 (Buy American and support the Wounded Warrior Project whenever possible.)
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To: ScottinVA

Time to be polling just the Electoral College status.


5 posted on 07/02/2012 7:00:37 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: ScottinVA

I find it hard to believe that Obama has this much support.


6 posted on 07/02/2012 7:01:37 AM PDT by popdonnelly (The first priority is get Obama out of the White House.)
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To: ScottinVA

Romney needs a slogan, reminiscent of Nixon’s ‘72 slogan: Nixon, now more than ever.

How about:

Romney, because I just don’t care any more......

or

Romney, because I don’t have any thing else better to do.......

ADD YOU PWN......


7 posted on 07/02/2012 7:04:02 AM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: Red Badger

Romney, so we can have more like John Roberts on the Supreme Court.


8 posted on 07/02/2012 7:08:16 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: popdonnelly
I don't think he does. A number of people still aren't paying attention and the campaigns haven't really started yet. Just look at what has happened since 2009 (Virginia, New Jersey) and then in 2010 (whole Midwest and beyond) and then this year (in North Carolina, Wisconsin [twice], [West Virginia-Kentucky-Arkansas], and the Cities of San Diego and San Jose). Just keep on working to defeat Obama and his party...
9 posted on 07/02/2012 7:08:37 AM PDT by 103198
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To: Paladin2
Time to be polling just the Electoral College status.

Reliable state polls will not be available until after Labor Day, what is out there now is just noise and most of the noise is from media driven polls trying to pump up Obama. Look at the national polls but not the numbers, watch the trend. Trends will not be good for Obama, both the economy and Obamacare will pull him down.

10 posted on 07/02/2012 7:09:59 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: ScottinVA

Better.


11 posted on 07/02/2012 7:12:47 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: Red Badger

Romney, because your current POtuS is a terrorist purposefully working with other enemies of the United States to make her crumble.


12 posted on 07/02/2012 7:16:05 AM PDT by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
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To: centurion316

“Look at the national polls but not the numbers, watch the trend”

This is key. Pick out a polling organization you trust, and then watch the trends. stay away from Real Clear Politics polling average. They include all polls even those with a proven bias which muddies the water.


13 posted on 07/02/2012 7:17:02 AM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: popdonnelly

I’ve heard some people say that some of these polls are “doctored”, because certain liberals want to produce polls to show that Obama is more popular than he really is.


14 posted on 07/02/2012 7:19:59 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: 103198

True about those elections but in a presidential election the turnout by the blacks will be back up


15 posted on 07/02/2012 7:21:30 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: WILLIALAL

I trust Bloomberg...so i guess im screwed....just kidding


16 posted on 07/02/2012 7:32:00 AM PDT by lifeisagame
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To: uncbob

“True about those elections but in a presidential election the turnout by the blacks will be back up”

They may be “back up”, but they are still less than 12% of the population. Only a small percentage of that number vote.
If the thinking percentage of the citizens show up and vote, Zero looses in a landslide.


17 posted on 07/02/2012 7:36:36 AM PDT by 9422WMR (Life is not fair, just deal with it.)
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To: ScottinVA
Yup,and 99% of that 4% are those who've decided that because Romney isn't Ronald Reagan or Sarah Palin he's not getting their vote.In 2000 a swing of four....FOUR...Electoral Votes would,today,mean "former President algore".In 2000 if one third of those who voted Nader in New Hampshire (4 Electoral votes) had voted for algore instead he would have carried the state.This year there'll be no Nader that Osama has to worry about.There *is* one,however,that Romney needs to worry about.Remember that all you purists.
18 posted on 07/02/2012 7:42:40 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Bill Ayers Was *Not* "Just Some Guy In The Neighborhood")
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To: 103198

Two weeks before the 2010’s special Senatorial election in Massachusetts the RAT was up by something like 15 points.


19 posted on 07/02/2012 7:46:02 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Bill Ayers Was *Not* "Just Some Guy In The Neighborhood")
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To: WILLIALAL

Pick out a polling organization you trust, and then watch the trends. stay away from Real Clear Politics polling average. They include all polls even those with a proven bias which muddies the water.


Rasmussen. He’s pretty accurate based on past real results....


20 posted on 07/02/2012 7:47:39 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: Gay State Conservative

Purist care not for facts; it’s all about their own wittle feelings


21 posted on 07/02/2012 7:50:44 AM PDT by Hegewisch Dupa
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To: popdonnelly
"I find it hard to believe that Obama has this much support."

He doesn't. Polling is naturally biased to the left and the 'rats between Memorial Day and Labor Day because it's summer and people with lives are living them outside and not staying home to answer the telephone. Nobody corrects polls for this but it does seem to happen. I'd take a guess that it's about 0-7% depending on the week and the poll. If you want "real" numbers you need to wait until after Labor Day -- but doing this poorly in the summer does not bode well for the 'rats and Big Zero's election prospects and may help explain the panicked call to large donors from Air Force One.

(No, Mr. President, the problem is not that you don't have enough money. The problem is that you don't have a clue.)

22 posted on 07/02/2012 7:51:56 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: patriotspride

“Rasmussen. He’s pretty accurate based on past real results....”

That is who I use, because he uses likely voters, and he polls at a consistent rate across the nation. He does national polls and state polls.


23 posted on 07/02/2012 7:52:54 AM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: Red Badger

Romney, because we have no spine.


24 posted on 07/02/2012 8:05:13 AM PDT by arderkrag (ABOs are Romneybot trolls. LOOKING FOR ROLEPLAYERS. Check Profile.)
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To: arderkrag

Romney, because ‘None of the Above’ is not on the ballot....................


25 posted on 07/02/2012 8:09:10 AM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: ScottinVA

Announcer:They’re neck and neck...all the way..what a race..and its Cabbage by a head!


26 posted on 07/02/2012 8:10:56 AM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the StatistI)
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To: Red Badger

Romney because I am just a socialist and not a communist like Obama my twin.


27 posted on 07/02/2012 8:12:28 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

Romney, because picking the lesser of two evils is just too hard....................


28 posted on 07/02/2012 8:15:06 AM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: Leep

Re you sure it wasn’t The Corn by an ear?.....................


29 posted on 07/02/2012 8:16:20 AM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain

Sir, I nominate your posting as the “Post of the Day!” Thanks!


30 posted on 07/02/2012 8:21:21 AM PDT by jennings2004 ("Just give Granny a pill...." Obama)
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To: ScottinVA
Now that the excitement of last week is over with, don't expect much to happen with respect to the presidential election until we start getting close to the GOP convention (end of August). From now until then, it's the summertime lull. Romney is up in New Hampshire spending the week on vacation.

I wouldn't start paying attention to polls until beginning of September. That will be when the crazy season begins.

31 posted on 07/02/2012 8:24:34 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: ScottinVA

Obama’s Supreme Tax Increase to pay for his extreme ObamaCare appears to be having an impact.

A lot of Americans went on vacation this Friday to include July 4th’s holiday.

They wont be back to work until the week of July 9.

Roberts/Pelosi/Obozo probably planned the announcement of the Supreme Tax Increase to fall on the eve of a lot of vacationers.

Most people can’t remember what happened to them a few days ago, let alone a week.


32 posted on 07/02/2012 8:25:55 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION IS DESTROYING AMERICA-LOOK AT WHAT IT DID TO THE WHITE HOUSE!)
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To: ScottinVA
Ratings for the Supreme Court have slipped since the health care ruling.

What in the hell do ratings for the Supreme Court have anything to do with the price of tea in China???

They are appointed for life which means nobody is up for election or re-election. So, why all the polls and surveys???

What I'm trying to say is, who gives a cow pie?

33 posted on 07/02/2012 8:26:48 AM PDT by varon (The Patriots stand watch!)
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To: ScottinVA

Rasmussen’s chart shows the opposite of his writing. Teh chart shows Obama leading 46-44.


34 posted on 07/02/2012 8:27:37 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (....The days are long, but the years are short.....)
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To: ScottinVA
If - God forbid - the current clown in the WH acquires a second term is there any GOP plan to stop the Electoral College vote on Jan 6, 2013?

January 8, 2009
Counting Electoral Votes in Congress
Public Law 110-430 changed the date of the electoral vote in Congress in 2009 from January 6 to January 8. This date change is effective only for the 2008 presidential election.
The Congress meets in joint session to count the electoral votes (Congress may pass a law to change the date). The President of the Senate is the presiding officer. If a Senator and a House member jointly submit an objection, each House would retire to its chamber to consider it. The President and Vice President must achieve a majority of electoral votes (270) to be elected. In the absence of a majority, the House selects the President, and the Senate selects the Vice President. If a State submits conflicting sets of electoral votes to Congress, the two Houses acting concurrently may accept or reject the votes. If they do not concur, the votes of the electors certified by the Governor of the State would be counted in Congress.


IF THE BLACK JESUS IS ELIGIBLE TO BE POTUS THEN PROVE IT SO THE PRESIDENT HAS THE "CONSENT OF THE GOVERNED"
35 posted on 07/02/2012 8:30:40 AM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Paladin2

“Romney, so we can have more like John Roberts on the Supreme Court.”

No! No! We need more TRUE conservatives like George W Bush, so we can have more like John Roberts on the Supreme Court. :/


36 posted on 07/02/2012 8:31:47 AM PDT by ari-freedom
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To: 9422WMR
They may be “back up”, but they are still less than 12% of the population. Only a small percentage of that number vote.

In PA in 2008 the turnout in Philadelphia was 105%
37 posted on 07/02/2012 8:39:17 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: ScottinVA

2 point lead ain’t nothing. The first recount will take care of that with newly found ballots alone. The lawyers for the socialists can handle up to a 5 point lead with multiple suits and as many recounts as it takes to get the right numbers. Of course the republicans will strongly object.


38 posted on 07/02/2012 8:49:11 AM PDT by strongbow
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To: ScottinVA

These polls are worthless. The only polls that count are the state by state polls in the states that are up for grabs.


39 posted on 07/02/2012 9:33:01 AM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: Uncle Chip

Well, until the state polls are updated, this is all we have.


40 posted on 07/02/2012 10:07:02 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: Paladin2

“Romney, so we can have more like John Roberts on the Supreme Court.”

It is shocking that Mitts staff is so incompetent that his website still endorses John Roberts.

I doubt that Mitt can win this election without the rest of us dragging him there.


41 posted on 07/02/2012 11:15:36 AM PDT by Monorprise
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To: SaxxonWoods

No, the posting is accurate. Romney is ahead.

Monday, July 02, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.


42 posted on 07/02/2012 12:31:08 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: WILLIALAL

“Rasmussen. He’s pretty accurate based on past real results....”

That is who I use, because he uses likely voters, and he polls at a consistent rate across the nation. He does national polls and state polls.


Good. I find it helps to follow proven predictors, rather than the headline grabbing pollsters .

They just want their brief moment of fame due to their skewed sampling that gives someone their desired talking point for the day.


43 posted on 07/02/2012 3:00:16 PM PDT by patriotspride
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To: ScottinVA

Here we go:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2902068/posts

+2 nationally equating to +8 in the battleground states


44 posted on 07/02/2012 4:09:05 PM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: ari-freedom

John Roberts was as well vetted as any “conservative’ justice could have been. He had a long relationship with the Federalist Society and liberals were opposed to his nomination based on his record.

His actions last week were surprising and disappointing and could not have been predicted.

We will never know why he ruled as he did.

Maybe, because of his history of epilepsy, he let his emotional sympathy for those with pre-existing conditions trump his fealty to the Constitution and just did NOT want to throw out the whole law.. despite the mandate being unconstitutional under the commerce clause?

Maybe he mistook bleating from the left wing press as reflecting real public opinion and didn’t want to hurt the court’s standing with the public and allowed himself to be swayed?

Maybe his epilepsy drugs affected his thinking?

Maybe he has nasty skeletons in his closet and was blackmailed?

We will never know.

It would have been nice to have this behind us, but we just has to deal with the situation as it is.

When life gives you lemons, make lemonade.

His decision also gave us some gifts.

1. A fired up conservative base. Romney raised over 5 million dollars in small donations in the 24 hours following the decision. Since the only way to defeat Obamacare is now to rally behind Romney.. there is no longer any logical reason for NOT getting on board. The stakes are too high. This could be a repeat of 2010!

2. For the first time in 75 years, the SCOTUS has put limits on the expansion of government powers under the commerce clause. Left wing jurists are NOT happy over this. What’s more, it was the opinion of a majority of 5 of the 9 justices in this case..and is now legal precedent!

3. The refusal to allow the government to penalize, monetarily, states that refuse to expand their Medicaid eligibility requierements under this law is ALSO a first.. that could come back to haunt big govt types that use the federal government’s power of the purse to blackmail state governments. It places many federal govt programs that cut off funds for state noncompliance in legal question..Again, ANOTHER precedent that is giving pro-big government left wing jurists nightmares.

4. Obamacare is STILL unpopular..and Roberts has now indelibly branded the mandate in the public’s mind as a TAX..a HUGE tax.. making Obama AND the Democrats in Congress who pretended that it wasn’t a tax..as liars who deceived the American people. and pulled a shell game. It also now has Obama breaking his promise NOT to tax those making less than $250,000 a year; it will actually impact the POOR! This a HUGE bludgeon with which to bloody Obama.. and we aren’t waiting around to take advanage of it! Americans for Prosperity, a conservative super-PAC, has already taken out a 9 million dollar media buy in swing states to point this out.

5. MOST American voters oppose this law. Romney and the Republcians have promised to repeal it. Obama and the Democrats defend it. Not a good place to be if you are an incumbent running in an election year. This will not only affect the Presidential race.. but all races down ticket. Can you say..GOP US Senate?

All in all... a short term victory lap for Obama and the Dems , but potentially a huge victory for the GOP both in November.. and long term in terms of some of the legal precedents set... IF we are aggressive, don’t let up thepressure and take full advantage of it!


45 posted on 07/02/2012 6:38:21 PM PDT by Livfreeordi
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To: centurion316

How many sitting Democrat Presidents have been defeated since the party was founded?


46 posted on 07/02/2012 8:04:13 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: ari-freedom

John Roberts was as well vetted as any “conservative’ justice could have been. He had a long relationship with the Federalist Society and liberals were opposed to his nomination based on his record.

His actions last week were surprising and disappointing and could not have been predicted.

We will never know why he ruled as he did.

Maybe, because of his history of epilepsy, he let his emotional sympathy for those with pre-existing conditions trump his fealty to the Constitution and just did NOT want to throw out the whole law.. despite the mandate being unconstitutional under the commerce clause?

Maybe he mistook bleating from the left wing press as reflecting real public opinion and didn’t want to hurt the court’s standing with the public and allowed himself to be swayed?

Maybe his epilepsy drugs affected his thinking?

Maybe he has nasty skeletons in his closet and was blackmailed?

We will never know.

It would have been nice to have this behind us, but we just has to deal with the situation as it is.

When life gives you lemons, make lemonade.

His decision also gave us some gifts.

1. A fired up conservative base. Romney raised over 5 million dollars in small donations in the 24 hours following the decision. Since the only way to defeat Obamacare is now to rally behind Romney.. there is no longer any logical reason for NOT getting on board. The stakes are too high. This could be a repeat of 2010!

2. For the first time in 75 years, the SCOTUS has put limits on the expansion of government powers under the commerce clause. Left wing jurists are NOT happy over this. What’s more, it was the opinion of a majority of 5 of the 9 justices in this case..and is now legal precedent!

3. The refusal to allow the government to penalize, monetarily, states that refuse to expand their Medicaid eligibility requierements under this law is ALSO a first.. that could come back to haunt big govt types that use the federal government’s power of the purse to blackmail state governments. It places many federal govt programs that cut off funds for state noncompliance in legal question..Again, ANOTHER precedent that is giving pro-big government left wing jurists nightmares.

4. Obamacare is STILL unpopular..and Roberts has now indelibly branded the mandate in the public’s mind as a TAX..a HUGE tax.. making Obama AND the Democrats in Congress who pretended that it wasn’t a tax..as liars who deceived the American people. and pulled a shell game. It also now has Obama breaking his promise NOT to tax those making less than $250,000 a year; it will actually impact the POOR! This a HUGE bludgeon with which to bloody Obama.. and we aren’t waiting around to take advanage of it! Americans for Prosperity, a conservative super-PAC, has already taken out a 9 million dollar media buy in swing states to point this out.

5. MOST American voters oppose this law. Romney and the Republcians have promised to repeal it. Obama and the Democrats defend it. Not a good place to be if you are an incumbent running in an election year. This will not only affect the Presidential race.. but all races down ticket. Can you say..GOP US Senate?

All in all... a short term victory lap for Obama and the Dems , but potentially a huge victory for the GOP both in November.. and long term in terms of some of the legal precedents set... IF we are aggressive, don’t let up thepressure and take full advantage of it!


47 posted on 07/02/2012 8:47:40 PM PDT by Livfreeordi
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To: Uncle Chip

Thanks.. that CNN piece was the most convoluted, tangled set pf paragraphs I`d read in a while. Glad to see some progress being made. I noticed their comment about Romney having to spend resources defending traditionally GOP territory. If they`re making a point about erstwhile GOP states 0bama won in 2008, I would agree, but I`m not seeing him having to battle extraordinarily hard for the states won by McCain.

Oh, well.. propaganda, I guess. It IS CNN, after all.


48 posted on 07/03/2012 1:35:46 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: ScottinVA

I guess the tea party website got it wrong he wassupposed to be in france over 4th of july


49 posted on 07/03/2012 12:08:56 PM PDT by ATOMIC_PUNK (Any man may make a mistake ; none but a fool will persist in it . { Latin proverb })
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To: ScottinVA

Walter E. Williams, substituting for Rush Limbaugh on Thursday, reminded listeners that FDR won two re-election races in 1936 and 1940 with unemployment higher than it is now. Obama still believes the American people will embrace him and reject Romney, as they did Landon and Willkie in the past.


50 posted on 07/05/2012 2:10:00 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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