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Cruz Leads Dewhurst 49-40 in New Poll...Conservatives Dominate [Runoff for U. S. Senate in Texas]
Ted Cruz for U. S. Senate Website ^ | July 6, 2012 | Jason Johnson

Posted on 07/06/2012 11:41:18 AM PDT by JeepersFreepers

. . . a recent internal poll conducted for the Cruz for Senate campaign shows Ted leading Dewhurst 49-40.

Ted is leading Dewhurst among nearly every sub-group. Importantly, Ted is dominating self-identified “Tea Party” and “Very Conservative” voters.

Among the 50% of likely runoff voters who are Tea Party aligned, Ted leads 72-22. Among the 60% who are very conservative, Ted leads 58-33.

(Excerpt) Read more at tedcruz.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; cruz; dewhurst; senate; teaparty; texas; tx2012
This is encouraging news. It appears that Ted Cruz may be able to defeat establishment RINO David Dewhurst in the Texas Republican primary runoff for the U. S. Senate.
1 posted on 07/06/2012 11:41:25 AM PDT by JeepersFreepers
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To: JeepersFreepers

Here’s hoping this proves true! “Internal polls” can be notoriously over-optimistic.


2 posted on 07/06/2012 11:43:53 AM PDT by pogo101
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To: JeepersFreepers

Very nice!


3 posted on 07/06/2012 11:46:43 AM PDT by Ranald S. MacKenzie (It's the philosophy, stupid.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

Go Ted!!!


4 posted on 07/06/2012 11:51:32 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: JeepersFreepers

That’s good news, hope it’s accurate, and I know I’ll be voting for him come the 31st.


5 posted on 07/06/2012 11:54:32 AM PDT by izzatzo (Just beat Obama.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

This is great news. It has a downside, though. Dewhurst will be doubling down on his execrably dishonest ads. Those ads will make watching tv absolutely insufferable.


6 posted on 07/06/2012 12:01:38 PM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes everything)
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To: JeepersFreepers
I am so glad to see Ted Cruz surging. I sent him some bucks.

Ted Cruz is endorsed by Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint, Rick Santorum, and Rand Paul to name a few.

GOP-e is still pulling for the tax-raising Dewhurst.

7 posted on 07/06/2012 12:06:00 PM PDT by Gabrial (The nightmare will continue as long as the nightmare is in the White House)
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To: Paine in the Neck

Great news but crap. Cruz’s campaign already called me 6 times.


8 posted on 07/06/2012 12:06:55 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (ABO 2012)
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To: JeepersFreepers

This is great news if accurate. Cruz may be the first beneficiary of the Robert’s betrayal.


9 posted on 07/06/2012 12:08:58 PM PDT by ilgipper ( November cannot come soon enough)
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To: JeepersFreepers

Great news for TEA Party supporters and America and bad news for the RINOs who support Dewhurst.


10 posted on 07/06/2012 12:13:44 PM PDT by South40 ("Islam has a proud tradition of tolerance." Hussein Obama, Cairo, Egypt, June 4, 2009)
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To: JeepersFreepers

It is indeed great news, but....why on Earth would they release that data? I wouldn’t have. Cruz is the underdog and I think it would only help him if people continued to see him that way.

Cruz isn’t and won’t be perfect, for the Tea Party crowd, but I have no doubt he will be light years better than Dewhearst. Cruz will get my vote....


11 posted on 07/06/2012 12:15:03 PM PDT by Sporke (USS Iowa BB-61)
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To: Ranald S. MacKenzie
I just love it when the Tea Party and independent conservatives rock the GOP boat.

Hilarious to see the establishment freaking out.

12 posted on 07/06/2012 12:15:17 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: JeepersFreepers

Go Cruz!!!


13 posted on 07/06/2012 12:17:16 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: JeepersFreepers

I don’t believe this poll. Keep fighting as if Ted is 10 behind, because it may be rigged to make us cocky.


14 posted on 07/06/2012 12:21:37 PM PDT by montag813
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To: JeepersFreepers

Ted is a great candidate with a compelling family story as his father escaped the brutality of Castro’s Communist Cuba back in 1957.

This poll is great news for patriots in Texas and across the USA.


15 posted on 07/06/2012 12:22:16 PM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: pogo101

“Here’s hoping this proves true! “Internal polls” can be notoriously over-optimistic”

Or for fund raising. However I hope it is true.


16 posted on 07/06/2012 12:22:33 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: JeepersFreepers

Just sent him some money I couldn’t really afford, but I am p*ssed so did it anyway.


17 posted on 07/06/2012 12:27:47 PM PDT by manic4organic (We won. Get over it.)
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To: JeepersFreepers
I received an interesting call from a "pollster" last night on this race. The questions she asked as to what facts about each candidate would sway my vote painted Cruz in absolutely the most diabolical light, I could tell it was a Dewhurst organization conducting it.

Did anyone know that Cruz's father is Satan? I didn't either, until that poll.

Anyway, I had fun with it after I realized what was going on.

18 posted on 07/06/2012 12:38:06 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

Didn’t someone say the Tea Party is dead? Hehehehe!


19 posted on 07/06/2012 12:40:20 PM PDT by Bushbacker1 (I miss President Bush! 2012 - The End Of An Error! (Oathkeeper))
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Comment #20 Removed by Moderator

To: ngat
Of course they are. They are called push-polls, dumbass.

And your evidence that this is a push-poll is zero, miss, just like every time you try to offer up any substance in your critique of Cruz. Thus far all you've said is "Harvard," "Goldman Sachs" (even though Dewhurst is the one with the huge advantage in lobbyist dollars) and pointed out that Cruz was wearing what, in your faaaabulous fashion sense, was the wrong clothing.

Paid Dewhurst troll newb, you're so obvious.

21 posted on 07/06/2012 12:48:13 PM PDT by pogo101
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To: Uncle Slayton

“...compelling family story as his father escaped the brutality Castro’s Communist Cuba back in 1957.”

Yeah, makes a great STORY. Except it wasn’t Castro’s Communist Cuba back in 1957.


22 posted on 07/06/2012 12:50:52 PM PDT by ngat
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To: Gabrial

“GOP-e is still pulling for the tax-raising Dewhurst.”

No they are not. They are pulling for Cruz.

And the tax accusation is just Cruz campaign lies.


23 posted on 07/06/2012 12:56:30 PM PDT by ngat
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To: napscoordinator

As a Native Texan, I am paying attention to this one from Florida. I watched the debate on live streaming and Ted came away from that one the decisive winner in content and delivery. I would think the debate was the biggest reason for his surge.


24 posted on 07/06/2012 12:57:11 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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Comment #25 Removed by Moderator

To: ngat
"No they are not. They are pulling for Cruz."

GOP-e for Cruz? Now that is the best one I have heard in a month!

I can see your biases all the way from Florida! As a matter of fact, even Ray Charles could see it if he were still alive.

26 posted on 07/06/2012 1:01:55 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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To: mazda77

I watched that debate with a number of folks I had not previously known and immediately polled them afterwards. Not one of them thought Dewhurst won the debate and the VAST majority, some of which had been Dewhurst supporters previously, said that they were now definitely going to vote for Ted Cruz.


27 posted on 07/06/2012 1:06:08 PM PDT by Bigun ("The most fearsome words in the English language are I'm from the government and I'm here to help!")
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To: mazda77

gnat is a pest bought and paid for by the DEWhurst campaign. Ignore the fool is my advice!


28 posted on 07/06/2012 1:08:01 PM PDT by Bigun ("The most fearsome words in the English language are I'm from the government and I'm here to help!")
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To: mazda77

“GOP-e for Cruz? Now that is the best one I have heard in a month!”

Now there’s a totally unsupported denial of the truth. They don’t get much more GOP-e than the Bush family, yet they are supporting Cruz. You didn’t even know that?


29 posted on 07/06/2012 1:12:01 PM PDT by ngat
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To: Bigun

I know he is a pest by his handle. Not sure if you have them in Texas but the gnats we have around here are more commonly referred to as “Flying Teeth” as well as “No-see-ums”. If you are familiar with them, you know what I mean by his handle being a perfect descriptor.


30 posted on 07/06/2012 1:13:00 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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To: ngat

Do you walk to work or carry your lunch?


31 posted on 07/06/2012 1:14:24 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

In a run-off election who knows what will happen. But it is better than a poll showing him down. If you’re in Texas get out and vote.


32 posted on 07/06/2012 1:19:17 PM PDT by jbwbubba
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To: ngat
I think most people are on to your "Bush family" deception.

George P. Bush (nephew of W.) endorsed Cruz and had also endorsed Rubio in the Florida senate race.

But, now I guess you are going to give us some rather long-winded explanation of how great Crist was and the Rubio was the real GOP-e candidate.

33 posted on 07/06/2012 1:26:26 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: Ranald S. MacKenzie

Cruz is the man. Dewhurst is nick named do- worst. He is “establishment”. They almost had a riot at the state convention trying to cram him down the conventioneers. I expect Cruz to have a good chance because idiots wont know there is a run off and idiots are for the Rockefeller establishment. like romney.


34 posted on 07/06/2012 1:26:37 PM PDT by marygonzo
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To: ngat

http://www.nonstick.com/sounds/Foghorn_Leghorn/ltfl_072.mp3

http://www.tedcruz.org/endorsements/
http://www.daviddewhurst.com/endorsements


35 posted on 07/06/2012 1:27:16 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

An internal poll maybe correct but should be taken with a grain of salt. There haven’t been any major polling since back in May. There is one more debate scheduled for July 17 in Dallas hosted by WFAA tv.

July 31 and 100+ temperatures may make for an interesting run off. It may well come down to which one can get their supporters to the polls in an election with not many races on the ballot.

The candidate that spends some effort getting Seniors, 65+ in age to use mail in ballots and not have to endure the heat may be in the best position to win.


36 posted on 07/06/2012 1:28:00 PM PDT by deport
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To: DrewsDad

You got it 100% on the Bush kids. Jeb Jr. joined George P. in endorsing Rubio. Although I think Rubio is getting too comfortable in DC already, all I have to do is think back to just how bad Crist was a our Governor and would have been as Senator.

I will never forgive the NRSC endorsing Crist the moment he announced three months before the primary. I would say that Floridians know a thing or two about the GOP-e. Obviously much more than gnat.


37 posted on 07/06/2012 1:34:18 PM PDT by mazda77 ("Defeating the Totalitarian Lie" By: Hilmar von Campe. Everybody should read it.)
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To: ngat

>>been suckered in by the Harvard career politician Cruz campaign.<<

Now now....no sour grapes.


38 posted on 07/06/2012 2:01:02 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: JeepersFreepers
From a Roll Call article

The poll surveyed 750 likely Republican runoff voters June 24-26 with a 3.6-point margin of error. Cruz had 96 percent name identification among those voters and Dewhurst had 98 percent name identification.

Sixty percent of those surveyed viewed Cruz favorably, with 21 percent saying they had an unfavorable opinion of him. Dewhurst had an almost identical favorability rating, 59 percent, while 30 percent viewed him unfavorably.

UPDATE: Sources close to the Dewhurst campaign say they see the race dramatically differently, and that their polling indicates Dewhurst has a comfortable advantage in the race.

39 posted on 07/06/2012 2:35:28 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: ngat

Shaddup.

40 posted on 07/06/2012 2:36:16 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: JeepersFreepers

Go Ted!


41 posted on 07/06/2012 2:37:06 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Obamaid has to go.)
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To: ngat
According to Dewhurst’s own website he is endorsed by Rick Perry, Jim Inhofe, and RNC Committeeman Bill Crocker. RNC as in Republican National Committee. If that is not GOP-e, I'm not sure what is.

Cruz is supported by Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint, Rick Santorum, Mark Levin, etc.

I'll try and dig up Dewhurst’s voting records on your other point.

42 posted on 07/06/2012 3:37:02 PM PDT by Gabrial (The nightmare will continue as long as the nightmare is in the White House)
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To: Paine in the Neck

Ditto on that. I think those ads are lower than low. Disgusting behavior.


43 posted on 07/06/2012 3:39:21 PM PDT by Gabrial (The nightmare will continue as long as the nightmare is in the White House)
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To: ngat
Not sure where you live, but property taxes have continually gone up in Texas under Dewhurst’s tenure. It has become a major issue. I had to look it up, but my property taxes have gone up over 24 percent since Dewhurst has been President of the Texas Senate.
44 posted on 07/06/2012 5:04:54 PM PDT by Gabrial (The nightmare will continue as long as the nightmare is in the White House)
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To: ngat
OTOH, you are certainly right that Castro did not control Cuba in 1957. Cruz's father suffered under Fulgencio Batista, briefly supported Castro and rejected him as well.

I attended rallies (in the early 1970s) to raise funds for the Torriente Plan with former Castro cabinet members and Castro's own sister all of whom hated Castro's guts after having eagerly supported Fidel. Jose de la Torriente was IIRC the former head of Cuban Coca Cola, a sponsor in US Coca Cola of Roberto Goizueta, Sr. who became Coca Cola's Chairman for many years, and the plan was to use Cuban veterans to invade Cuba at Santiago. Torriente was assassinated by a sniper (never identified) who used a rifle to blow his brains out through a screened window as he sat in his own living room watching TV.

OTOH, Dewhurst IS an establishment GOP-E eager to go to Washington to be a faithful servant of the GOP-E leadership. If Dewhurst were to succeed, it would make way for a better Lt. Governor (pretty low bar to jump) in Texas and a minor improvement (lower than a limbo bar to jump) over retiring GOP-E Senator Anne Babyscraper Hutchison (Texas REALLY owes a LOT more to America than Hutchison or Cornyn for that matter).

Dewhurst would be a 67-year-old freshman if elected and Cruz would be a 42-year-old freshman if elected. That's a generation's difference. Why waste a seat on a very old GOP-E like Dewhurst? It isn't as though his track record would suggest favorable comparisons to Reagan. He is just an old ultra-rich guy. That's not enough.

45 posted on 07/06/2012 5:34:22 PM PDT by BlackElk (Viva Cristo Rey! Tom Hoefling for POTUS! Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: JeepersFreepers

I’m voting for Cruz on my absentee ballot that I will cast and put in the mail the day before I leave the country on vacation.


46 posted on 07/06/2012 8:10:59 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: Paine in the Neck; JeepersFreepers
This is great news. It has a downside, though. Dewhurst will be doubling down on his execrably dishonest ads. Those ads will make watching tv absolutely insufferable.

I laugh at those ads. They are so cartoonish and over the top, I think they hurt Dewhurst.

47 posted on 07/06/2012 8:35:01 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: izzatzo

“That’s good news, hope it’s accurate, and I know I’ll be voting for him come the 31st.”

I’ll donate, and I’ll thank you for casting your vote for Cruz!

Have you noticed that any candidate that is a beacon of freedom, they are catapulted to the fore in short order?

The reckoning is about to occur!

The only collectivism I can tolerate is a collectivist approach toward liberty!


48 posted on 07/06/2012 9:52:20 PM PDT by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: JeepersFreepers
Possible issue with the poll done by Wilson Perkins Allen:

"We’re only surveying people that voted in the 2012 primary. That is the pool of people we are looking at. The screener is, ‘Do you plan to vote in the July 31 runoff?’ Those that say ‘no’ drop out. Those that say ‘yes,’ we continue," [Chris] Perkins said. "I’m expecting high turnout. The number of people opting out of the survey – or the number of people screening themselves out of the survey – are minimal" (Source).

If you're expecting high turnout, your poll shouldn't be limited to 2012 primary voters. Because of how they've narrowed the number of people surveyed, I don't think you're going to get a very accurate result.

49 posted on 07/08/2012 3:45:11 PM PDT by Sic Parvis Magna
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To: Sic Parvis Magna
Followup on my prior post. I was talking to someone who know more about the ins and outs of polling than I do, and they said this is what you would expect in a run off poll, so no issues on the sample.

Other polls coming out now though.

50 posted on 07/12/2012 10:53:10 AM PDT by Sic Parvis Magna
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