Of the remaining 80%, how many are likely to vote?
The results about 50-43 are based on registered voters. To get that number the poll had to interview 2973 adults.
Since a registered voter is already registered, they are POTENTIAL voters if their candidate can get them fired up. Already registered is the key.
4 months out, there is reason to still be looking at registered voters. After the conventions, there's no way I'd be looking at anything but likely voters, but 4 months out it gives significant information to know what the registered electorate out there is thinking.
I'd be interested in how they weighted their sampling, though. That isn't given.
Throw this poll away. 20% of those polled aren't even registered to vote.Where does it say that?
This is what annoys me so much about people on Free Republic. If Obama is winning the poll is crap. That is fine but everyone did the same thing in 2008 and Obama ended up winning. It sucks when you don’t take polls seriously. I would rather every poll say that Obama is winning and Romney do something about it than show Romney winning every poll and him get comfortable and do nothing as he has the last few weeks.....Complacency is an awful thing and that is DEFINITELY what happened in 2008.