Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: TWhiteBear
Immigrants and minorities vote Democrat. The rapidly changing demographics of this country help the Dems.

Heavily Democratic minority voters (80 percent for Obama) increased their share of votes in U.S. presidential elections by 11 percentage points between 1988 and 2008, while the share of increasingly Democratic white college graduate voters rose 4 points. But the share of white working-class (not college-educated) voters, who have remained conservative in their orientation, has plummeted by 15 points.

That’s a pattern that’s repeated in state after state, helping send those states in a Democratic direction. In Pennsylvania, for example, the white working class declined by 25 points between 1988 and 2008, while white college graduates increased by 16 points and minorities by 8 points. And in Nevada, the white working class is down 24 points over the same time period, while minority voters are up an amazing 19 points and white college graduates by 4 points.

These trends will continue, and the United States will be majority-minority nation by 2042. By 2050, the country will be 54 percent minority as Latinos double from 15 percent to 30 percent of the population, Asian Americans increase from 5 percent to 9 percent, and African Americans move from 14 to 15 percent.

Other demographic trends accentuate Democrats’ advantage. The Millennial generation (those born between 1978 and 2000) is adding 4 million eligible voters to the voting pool every year, and this group voted for Obama by a stunning 66-32 margin in 2008. By 2020—the first presidential election in which all Millennials will have reached voting age—this generation will be 103 million strong, and about 90 million of them will be eligible voters. Those 90 million Millennial eligible voters will represent just under 40 percent of America’s total eligible voters.

Minorities are Democrats’ strongest constituency, and their numbers are growing rapidly. Overall, the share of minority voters in the national exit poll rose to 26 percent in 2008 from 23 percent in 2004. Back in 1988, that share was just 15 percent. That’s a rise of 11 percentage points over 20 years, or about half a percentage point a year.

Between 2004 and 2008, the share of African-American voters rose from 11 percent to 13 percent —hugely impressive for a group whose share of the overall population is growing very slowly. And the Hispanic share of voters rose from 8 percent to 9 percent over the same period. Blacks voted 95 percent to 4 percent for Obama in 2008, up from 88 percent to 11 percent for then presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) in 2004.

Hispanics voted 67 percent to 31 percent for Obama in 2008, a 36-percentage point margin that was double Kerry’s margin in 2004.

70 posted on 07/16/2012 9:20:14 AM PDT by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies ]


To: kabar

Glad you made that point. Also, they live in states such as California, NY that carry a lot of electorial votes.


93 posted on 07/16/2012 8:03:55 PM PDT by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson