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To: TomEwall

There have been more than 1 poll so far taken where the internals have shown this.. have to look at the details, not the conclusive numbers.

Also, polling JUST in the swing states (IE only polled voters in swing states) showed Romney up 10.

Don’t believe the nonsense you are being fed guys... Obama, and democrats in general are facing an electorial DISASTER. 2010 was the tip of the iceburg.


20 posted on 08/01/2012 11:24:23 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

I think there are good signs. With the Job Approval rate at around 46/47%, it makes it impossible that Obama is doing nearly as well as the swing state polls which have him ahead by 5 to 8 points, or more, suggest. At best, he could be even.

But that 1 in 5 registered Democrats would vote for Romney seems very unlikely. They’d be much more likely to just not vote. So you could trim some expected votes from Obama due to lack of enthusiasm, but you wouldn’t want to double count these.

If Obama’s job approval numbers stay where they are, at around 46/47%, I think the election will be close. Compare to Bush in 2004. His Job Approval was 49.5, and he won the election by a little over 3 pct. points.


21 posted on 08/01/2012 11:41:11 AM PDT by TomEwall
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