To: Pearls Before Swine
"Happy by the headline establishment survey print of 133,245 which says that the US "added" 163,000 jobs in July from 133,082 last month? Consider this: the number was based on a non seasonally adjusted July number of 132,868." Took me a bit to make some sense out of the. The author might have taken a little time to add 000s to the appropriate numbers, that way the addition and subtract would see to work out.
Meanwhile, yes that was a large seasonal adjustment.
3 posted on
08/03/2012 6:29:53 AM PDT by
Positive
(Nothing is sadder than to see a beautiful theory murdered by a gang of brutal facts.)
To: Positive
It would have been easier to read if he stated:
# jobs, not seasonally adjusted
June 134,072,000
July 132,860,000
=
-1,212,000 fewer jobs in July
After running -1,212,000 through 2 statistical tools: the Birth and Death model and seaonal adjustment
-1,212,000 becomes +163,000
7 posted on
08/03/2012 7:04:12 AM PDT by
khelus
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