PB: But we didn’t set out to oversample Democrats.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Buahahahahahahaa! He said it just “happened!” This is the kind of crap that should make national news, the now institutionalized deception of the US public.
Hewitt did a good job....this Quinnipiac guy is spinning like a truck stuck in the mud.
What an idiot.
Oh good grief. Like I need to hear another left-wingers BS excuses.
That was awesome! He never saw it coming. Backed himself right into the corner and couldn’t get out. Don’t mess with a brilliant lawyer like Hugh!
This election for president is the definition of conundrum: a liberal vs a marxist. Should I hang myself, or shoot myself. No upside to this decision.
5.56mm
Sounds like a Freudian slip there, like he had a predetermined outcome in mind. What he should have said is what we found is what I believe.
and, yet, it always turns out that way. Hmmmmm.....
The polling guy seems to be inferring that he is getting his turnout model from the D vs. R responses from this specific poll. I really don’t think this is the the standard polling methology.
The normal.scheme is to poll the R’s and D’s and I’s and determine the best estimate of how each of these 3 groups will split their vote between Obama and Romney. Then they prorate this result based on their independently developed turnout model.
Am I right about this?
Is there any professional pollster who has heard or read this interview who cares to comment on how Quinnipiac conducted this poll?
This interview exposes Quinnipiac as completely unprofessional, in my opinion.
His answers indicate either a huge problem in getting a random sample of responses or an underlying huge shift of tidal proportions from republican and independent to democrats.
Wow. What a complete a$$ kicking.
Someone posted a link to this story about “The Poll That Changed Polling” yesterday, the 1936 Literary Digest poll that predicted Roosevelt would lose in a landslide:
http://historymatters.gmu.edu/d/5168/
Some of the defenses of that poll in the article sound just like what this Quinnipac guy is spinning.
Quinnipac: “This is how we’ve always done our polls. Our record is very good in terms of accuracy.”
Literary Digest: “For nearly a quarter century, we have been taking Polls of the voters in the forty-eight States, and especially in Presidential years, and we have always merely mailed the ballots, counted and recorded those returned and let the people of the Nation draw their conclusions as to our accuracy. So far, we have been right in every Poll.”
History repeats itself.
If I ever need the services of a lawyer, I can only hope that I get one who is as perceptive and adroit as Hewitt.
(Full disclosure: My one and only exposure to the legal system so far is that my own attorney was an idiot, so it wouldn’t take much to do better than that. The person who represents himself has a fool for a lawyer - but at least it’s less expensive than paying for a real foolish lawyer.)
Ping to related thread.
I have an unnamed source at Qunnipiac that says that they are actively fixing the polls for 0bama. Now, let them prove that they are not staffed by 0bama supporters and sympathizers.
As Mark Levin said, a can of orange juice could beat Obama. When Romney wins (and he will)the damage he will do to the country in the name of the Republican party will make us wish for the good ole days of "conservative" George W Bush. All, the lefty polices we ended we had to defend to keep the Democrats out of the White House was awful, and now in 2012 we have the bad choice of of going off the cliff at 55 MPH or the worse at 90 MPH, but we're still on the move in a terrifying direction and we're not going to stop just because the letter next to the name changes from D to R.
Hewitt led the charge to make this happen since 2002, just like he led the charge to put Arnold in the Governors seat in California instead of even trying for a more conservative who might have been about to do something to stop the collapse of the west coast economy.
I'd be a lot happier if he just went back to teaching, or the law full time and stopped pretending to be anything but a moderate pretending conservatism like he plays on the radio.
As Mark Levin said, a can of orange juice could beat Obama. When Romney wins (and he will)the damage he will do to the country in the name of the Republican party will make us wish for the good ole days of "conservative" George W Bush. All, the lefty polices we ended we had to defend to keep the Democrats out of the White House was awful, and now in 2012 we have the bad choice of of going off the cliff at 55 MPH or the worse at 90 MPH, but we're still on the move in a terrifying direction and we're not going to stop just because the letter next to the name changes from D to R.
Hewitt led the charge to make this happen since 2002, just like he led the charge to put Arnold in the Governors seat in California instead of even trying for a more conservative who might have been about to do something to stop the collapse of the west coast economy.
I'd be a lot happier if he just went back to teaching, or the law full time and stopped pretending to be anything but a moderate pretending conservatism like he plays on the radio.