Intrade odds are now 57 Obama 42 Romney
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/
Intrade also had the mandate going down by 75% w obamacare
Interesting: UK bookmakers Ladbrokes offer very different odds: currently 4/11 Obama (=73%) & 2/1 Romney (=33%). Despite their 6% profit margin here, can’t help feeling there’s some value in one of those prices! Though, of course, if you were on Obama at 57 with Intrade, and Romney at 33 with Ladbrokes, you’d be guaranteed a profit whatever the outcome...