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To: Son House
This seems like perfectly reasonable advice. Let's see what happened as we compare the high range of prices in 2008 vs. the bottom of the crash in early 2009. I will also toss in some recent prices, just for those who like a "buy and hold" strategy.

ENERGY:

Chevron: 2008 High = 85 // Crash Low = 50. . . but recently at 110

Conoco-Phillips: 2008 High = 60 // Crash Low = 23

Exxon: 2008 High = 85 // Crash Low = 55

So "Energy" lost you at least 40%, on paper

PRECIOUS METALS

GLD: 2008 High = 100 // Crash Low = 70

SLV: 2008 High = 20 // Crash Low = 8

Metals got you on average about a 50% haircut.

SAFETY STOCKS:

JNJ: 2008 High = 62 // Crash Low = 40

KO*: 2008 High = 28 // Crash Low = 17 (But recently 40)

WMT: 2008 High = 55 // Crash Low = 43 (But recently 70)

P&G: 2008 High = 65 // Crash Low = 40

MCD: 2008 High = 60 // Crash Low = 41 (But recently 90)

Full Disclosure: I have owned every investible on this list. As of this moment, I probably have half of these in some account - whether a retirement account. . . . or not.

Virtually EVERYTHING on this list lost at least 30% on paper. That's a small crash, by historical standards.

Maybe you can sleep like a baby while the value of your portfolio loses 30% - 50% in a few weeks. If so, you're made of sterner stuff than me. I have stops under all my positions.

And remember - when you sleep like a baby, you wake up every hour ------ CRYING!!

* NOTE: KO has JUST split 2 for 1. So these prices were about double the prices in my post, back in 2008/2009.

(Just something to think about. your mileage may vary)

7 posted on 08/18/2012 6:25:01 PM PDT by willgolfforfood
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To: willgolfforfood

Thanks for all that, actually I been long term 401k since about 95 and sat threw the lows while seeing co-workers sell, looking for about 20 more years, but if few business are going to be doing business as in the last 4 years, there’s no use sitting through that.

That brings up a political point if I may, as when someone says both parties are alike, no, they were, but the conservatives are actively trying to rid Republicans of the spoiled politicians, well Democrat supporters will put up with it at any cost just to see a Democrat elected over a Republican.


10 posted on 08/18/2012 6:48:42 PM PDT by Son House (The Economic Boom Heard Around The World => TEA Party 2012)
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