Poll shocker: Romney up double-digits in Florida

News-Press ^ | August 21, 2012 | Scott Bihr

[muawiyah]

Back to the old language eh ~ - your boy is biased against me, and the problem with evidence is there isn't any that much has changed.

I know supporters of any candidate want to believe that the tension rises, and public interest rises, and everything is really cool for their side ~ and outside of anecdotes, that's not it.

Sorry, if you get something it'll be pretty much in line with what we've had before, and we will have to suppress voting on the other side, as usual, to make sure we win.

BTW, New York, Illinois and California aren't really out of play. You may think they are, but they aren't. Even in those out of the way places we have penetrated their psyche with the internet and all it can do ~ they no longer have any reason to depend on the MSM.

[Osage Orange]

Geesh....

What happened to your kids?

[LS]

You are forgetting a very big reality in 2008: LOTS of people who, regardless of registration, never voted before (and likely won't vote again) showed up. College kids, yes, blacks. But there is also another very big reality you're ignoring: large numbers---no, I don't have statistics, all I have is local anecdotal evidence that is pretty darned overwhelming---of Republicans voted for Obama.

Yep.

In one deep red suburb of Dayton, for ex., it was the first one we went to on election night to look at the raw #s: This should have been over 95% McCain. In fact, he was at about 75%. A female judge acquaintance---WAY up in the county and state GOP---was talking after dinner. She said she couldn't believe her daughter (a Republican) voted for Obama. Her son said, "Mom, don't you know that ALL your children (5) voted for Obama?" Now, I can say with near certainty that if any of them vote again this time, it won't be for Obama.

Of that 80m, a HUGE chunk are "Reagan Dems who despise what Obama has done. A majority? Course not. But of your 80M Dems, how many are located in three states---IL, CA, and NY---that don't matter any way as they are never in play? For ex, the voter advantage for Dems just in NY, MA, CA, and IL is a whopping 9.3 million! Now, considering that only about six million votes have to switch, by that statistic alone it's not only possible but likely that six million Americans have already decided Obama must go. When you factor in your "stay home" quotient, we're talking serious GOP advantage here in the "states that count"---WI, MI, OH, VA, FL, PA, NE, NV, NM, IA, MN, and PA.

"Poll watching" is observing the only evidence we have, such as it is. And so far, the evidence is pointing to a significant GOP electoral victory---and I keep harping on that because CA, NY, and IL are NOT IMPORTANT in the sense of being in play. They are already factored in as hopeless for Republicans.

When you see repeated polls from MI saying Romney is ahead, or in WI saying Romney is ahead, or other "Dem" states where Romney is ahead or even, it says something. And what it says probably ain't what you want to hear, which is, maybe Romney isn't as bad as you hope, and maybe he DOES appeal to an awful lot of voters. And, if we had any semblance of a truly objective press, you would already know that. So to the extent that it's possible, people like me have to try to convince people like you---who already are biased against Romney---that in fact he's doing damn well.

[LS]

Wow, what a dodge: I give you specific, though anecdotal, evidence of MANY one-time Obama voters, not some claim that "the tension rises, and public interest rises." I don't claim that, and I don't claim that GOP turnout will be exceptionally high. I do know that there will be a very, very significant shift FROM Obama.

Now, whether they just don't vote, or vote Romney, will of course affect that 10m advantage he had in 08, but if they do the latter, you're looking at a shift of a little over 5 million votes nationally to make an EC landslide. Again, only for purposes of disposing with your "voter registration advantage" model, nine million of your Dem advantage there is soaked up in three states. We do not have to "flip" voters there. Not necessary. You only have to flip voters in the states I mentioned for this to be a 300+ EV for the GOP.

[Mears]

“What happened to your kids? “

—

They grew up,they left home,and that’s the way it is.

Three of my five are on our side though.

All five are decent,law abiding,productive citizens and that’s what counts.

[Osage Orange]

Fair enough...FRiend.

[devolve]

.....maybe a little bro.....

- Barack Hussein Obama II

[RipSawyer]

“I’m in MA and know quite a few that are voting for Obama,including a couple of my own kids.”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

Something in your water supply makes people incredibly gullible apparently.

[piytar]

Just google them. They’re “consultants” aka people who get paid for their work aka internal polsters. Yes, there’s more, but I’m too wiped to get into it.

[pistolpackinpapa]

But, how can that be? I was sure that Virgil Goode would be polling at 45 percent?

[pistolpackinpapa]

“obama found Obama and killed him” propaganda movie
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I had to LOL when I read that. I assume that’s a typo?

[JediJones]

Yes, it turns out one Barack Obama was born in Hawaii and one in Kenya. The illegal alien one was elected president, but he had to have the CIA hunt down and kill the U.S.-born one of the same name so he could assume his identity and assure legality for his presidency.

[PhatHead]

Print this out, stick it on the back of a cheap plastic chair, and put it in your yard.

[GOPJ]

Ryans’ and Romney’s promise to protect Medicare was decisive... plus lots of Floridians originally came from the midwest. We know the Ryan type - we trust that type...