Not entirely correct. 2000 d+4 sample. 2004 d=r. 2008 d+7. 2010 d=r. My hunch is somewhere between 2000 and 2004. So d+2 is what i’m going wit. D+9 is definitely off. Old wapo polls in years past showed them switch to LV polls in october. I’ll pay more attention when they switch to LV polls.
That’s fine ~ just that LV polls are essentially useless before the Fall campaign begins.