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PPP: Obama has small lead in Nevada
Public Policy Polling ^ | August 29, 2012 | Tom Jensen

Posted on 09/02/2012 3:04:08 AM PDT by sf4dubya

PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama holding on to a small lead in the state over Mitt Romney, 50-47. Obama's advantage has been declining over the course of the year. In late March we found him up 8 points, in early June it was down to 6 points, and now the advantage is at 3.

Romney's keeping it close despite Democrats' registration advantage in Nevada because he's ahead 51-41 with independents. Romney is also blowing Obama out with white voters, 57-40. Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics.

Nevadans narrowly disapprove of the job Obama is doing, with 48% giving him good marks to 49% who are unhappy with him. Romney has negative favorability numbers with 46% of voters viewing him positively to 49% with an unfavorable opinion. But that's up a net 9 points from June when he was at a -12 spread (41/53).

A lot of that improvement has to do with Republicans continuing to warm up to Romney. His favorability with them is now 85/13 after previously being 71/23. We saw similar improvement for him on our Iowa poll over the weekend with GOP voters where he's now at 82/12 compared to a previous 72/19.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: battleground; nevada; obama; romney

1 posted on 09/02/2012 3:04:15 AM PDT by sf4dubya
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To: sf4dubya

After seeing the Roll Call vote last week from Nevada, I honestly think that most of Nevada is NUTS!!


2 posted on 09/02/2012 3:10:34 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Ann Archy

Those were our little Paulbots. Aren’t they special?

Had to put a special rule in place for our special nitwits... Sigh...


3 posted on 09/02/2012 3:15:47 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

That was EMBARRASSING!!!


4 posted on 09/02/2012 3:22:02 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Ann Archy

That was their goal. I can’t post links to RGJ, but you can do a search and see their stupid stunt they pulled at our state GOP convention a few months after the state caucus.

Not going to happen again. But people really need to get involved in their state GOP to prevent these things from happening.


5 posted on 09/02/2012 3:30:22 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya
"Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics. "

This should let you know where we are headed as a nation.

6 posted on 09/02/2012 3:36:42 AM PDT by precisionshootist
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To: sf4dubya

I do not understand Nevada. Is all the Californians that moved there?

Harry Ried and the “Train from no where.”


7 posted on 09/02/2012 3:38:14 AM PDT by hadaclueonce (you are paying 12% more for fuel because of Ethanol. Smile big Corn Lobby,)
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To: sf4dubya

The same group polled said they voted 54% to 39 % in favor of Obama over McCain last election.


8 posted on 09/02/2012 3:39:52 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: precisionshootist

Yep. And that’s why you have the dems letting them flood the country illegally.


9 posted on 09/02/2012 3:40:57 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: johniegrad

Well then I guess R&R are screwed in Nevada.


10 posted on 09/02/2012 3:42:23 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Actually, I saw that as a major shift in voting sentiment and a positive sign along with the current polling trending toward Romney.


11 posted on 09/02/2012 3:48:39 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Ann Archy
After seeing the Roll Call vote last week from Nevada, I honestly think that most of Nevada is NUTS!!

Dingy Harry's continued presence is a pretty big tip off in that regard.

12 posted on 09/02/2012 3:50:37 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: johniegrad

Exactly.


13 posted on 09/02/2012 3:53:17 AM PDT by M. Thatcher
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To: snarkytart

Need to re-read.

Who knows the final vote, but Obama did have an 8 pt lead in March that shrinks to 6 in June then shrinks to 3 most recently.

when that is happening, is that time say “we give up”?

Uh, no.


14 posted on 09/02/2012 3:53:24 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: sf4dubya

I cannot find the D/R breakdown. Overall, Obama underwater in approval, and Romney doing better with blacks than Bushbor McCain. So, till we know more, this is “not proven”. The trend, however is very good and at this rat will have the right result on election night-—but I don’t want to rely on trends.


15 posted on 09/02/2012 3:57:23 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: sf4dubya

Be wary of Public Policy Polling. They are a democrat outfit likely over sampling dems.


16 posted on 09/02/2012 4:05:10 AM PDT by Islander7 (There is no septic system so vile, so filthy, the left won't drink from to further their agenda)
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To: LS

38/34/28 = D/R/I. It’s there but you have to hit an additional link embedded in the source article.


17 posted on 09/02/2012 4:15:42 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Ann Archy

well, yeah, I think we’ve known that for a while


18 posted on 09/02/2012 4:20:50 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: hadaclueonce
The problem is Vegas. Nevada is ranked something like number 5 in the country for violent crime. Take out Vegas and it would be down in the 40s with Wyoming. The same thing goes for voting. If you take out Vegas the state would be fairly conservative.

Back during the housing boom Vegas had a huge influx of people seeking jobs in the building and casino sectors. It seems many of them never left. Obama's people did a great job of getting the casino workers to vote for him in the primary, whether they were citizens or not.

19 posted on 09/02/2012 4:22:18 AM PDT by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: hadaclueonce

Look at the internals of the poll.

We have a libertarian and conservative base here in Nevada. When they protest vote or stay home, then the California refugees who still vote like they did in California plus the SEIU / Clark County factor determines the outcome of an election.

When the conservative base is motivated, good things like Gov. Brian Sandoval happen.

There are 50,000 more Democrats than Republicans in this state. If our base is not excited here, it will spell disaster for both the Senate and the Presidency.

Democrats from California came out here specifically for Obama GOTV efforts. They already started knocking on doors in my district, which leans Republican but I guess it is considered purple now.

If we do not have that level of involvement, I shudder to think what is going to happen.


20 posted on 09/02/2012 4:42:12 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

I have been going to the Facebook page of Hispanics for Obama and reminding them of the unemployment rate of Hispanics, how much debt Obama has accumulated, and how few Hispanics are part of this administration. Even if I can change a few minds, it will be something.

I know a lot of Freepers don’t want the GOP to bother “reaching out” to Hispanics, but I am willing to do almost anything to make sure Obama doesn’t get another four years to continue his destruction of America. If trying to persuade Hispanics to vote for R/R is pandering, so be it. Anything to stop Obama.


21 posted on 09/02/2012 4:53:30 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: trebb

Exactly. What would you expect from people stupid enough to re-elect Reid? I just don’t get it.


22 posted on 09/02/2012 4:55:29 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: ilovesarah2012

Good! That is the kind of stuff we need to do more of!


23 posted on 09/02/2012 4:58:25 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: ilovesarah2012

That is activism at a very basic level. You will not be able to make an accurate measure of your success but so what.

Among women consensus plays a great role. If you can convince one or two and they convince one or two and a consensus forms, you have done very well.

Very very good for you


24 posted on 09/02/2012 5:06:07 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: johniegrad

So, what only about a 1% Dem oversample? Or is NV redder?


25 posted on 09/02/2012 5:16:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Dims are over-sampled by 4 points:
Dims 38% Republicans 34% Other 28%


26 posted on 09/02/2012 5:19:27 AM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: ShovelThemOut

But that isn’t an oversampling. There really are more Dems the Reps in Nevada.

Increasingly so as the Mexican invasion continues unabated.


27 posted on 09/02/2012 5:41:31 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Ann Archy

I think they are too and I live here!


28 posted on 09/02/2012 5:43:40 AM PDT by Internet Walnut
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To: sf4dubya
Mormons are 12% of Nevada's population. While it's true, there are more Democrats than Republicans in Nevada, I think Romney will win the state. Not by a lot.
29 posted on 09/02/2012 6:10:31 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Sooth2222

Just because someone is Mormon doesn’t mean they aren’t Democrats.

There is one our neighbors keep sending back to Washington.


30 posted on 09/02/2012 6:14:21 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

Lest we forget, Dingy Harry’s Dingy son, Rory Reid, was the Clark county Commission Chairman.

Clark county is, by far, the most populous county in Nevada (Las Vegas) and you can be sure that all the dead people there will be voting democrat, along with the illegals, pets, and other critters.


31 posted on 09/02/2012 6:17:28 AM PDT by meyer (It's 1860 all over again - the taxpayer is the new "N" word)
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To: sf4dubya

Keep in mind that this is after willard fest but before hussein fest. Each party typically gets a bump from its convention. Id look at the numbers in about 2 weeks to get a sense for how all this is going to sort out.

Most importantly, remember that the national polls don’t tell you much. The President is selected by the electoral college. It is very possible for a candidate to win the popular vote but lose in the EC. It happened in 2000.


32 posted on 09/02/2012 10:23:29 AM PDT by RKBA Democrat (WILLARD 2012 - It's not just a campaign, it's a conservative suicide pact!)
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To: ilovesarah2012

Good for you. We need to do this.

I saw this on a website. This is the stuff that every voter needs to know ... sharing for others to use to make the case for firing Obama.


Why has Obama waged War on Women, Minorities, Families and College Students?

Obama: “we tried our plan and it worked”. 7/25/2012

Results of Obama’s War on Americans:

23 million unemployed

43 straight months of 8+% unemployment

45 million on food stamps

Black poverty at record highs

The middle class has lost 40% of its net worth under Obama

Black youth unemployment over 50%

Hispanic unemployment at 10.3%

illegals due to receive roughly $7.4 billion through Obama’s Additional Child Tax Credit.

Food prices up 15% under Obama

Gas prices doubled under Obama

Obama has the worst job creation record since 1945 (BLS)

Obama recovery the worst in 75 years

Median household income $4,300 declines under Obama

Average family health insurance up $1,500 under Obama

Added $6 trillion to our debt...more than all Prezs. Combined

Presided over only US credit downgrade

Over 100 million people on some form of means tested welfare

Many in America wanted to be proud when the first person of color was elected president, but instead, they have been witness to a congenital liar, a woman who has been ashamed ofAmerica her entire life, failed policies, intimidation, and a commonality hitherto not witnessed in political leaders.

If Obama’s plan worked as he claims why do America’s people go homeless, hungry and unemployed.

Vote Obama the Failure out in Nov. Save America


33 posted on 09/02/2012 12:48:09 PM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: WOSG

Excellent. Posting it on my FB.


34 posted on 09/02/2012 2:13:11 PM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: RKBA Democrat

This poll was done before the convention. See the internals.


35 posted on 09/02/2012 2:18:53 PM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya
I know I am a little late on this one, just had a chance to look at the poll.

Nevada Poll: (Public Policy Polling) August 29 2012

Who did you vote for in 2008?

John McCain : 39%

Barack Obama: 54%

Someone else/Don't remember: 7% (people who are embarrassed to say Obama)

IF the candidates for president this year where Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney who would you vote for.

Mitt Romney: 47%

Barack Obama: 50%

This means to me: Roughly 8% less people who voted for Obama last time say they are going to vote for this time.

If you take into the number who say someone else / can't remember that makes it 36% less, but that may be my wishful thinking.

Democrats sampled: 11% more than republicans

Women sampled: 21% more than men

36 posted on 09/19/2012 4:10:01 PM PDT by justlittleoleme
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To: sf4dubya

Trend is going ROmneys way just like in most other states. If Hispanics don’t turn out in 2008 numbers Romney probably takes Nevada if the polling is good.


37 posted on 09/19/2012 4:12:52 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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