Skip to comments.PPP: Obama has small lead in Nevada
Posted on 09/02/2012 3:04:08 AM PDT by sf4dubya
PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama holding on to a small lead in the state over Mitt Romney, 50-47. Obama's advantage has been declining over the course of the year. In late March we found him up 8 points, in early June it was down to 6 points, and now the advantage is at 3.
Romney's keeping it close despite Democrats' registration advantage in Nevada because he's ahead 51-41 with independents. Romney is also blowing Obama out with white voters, 57-40. Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics.
Nevadans narrowly disapprove of the job Obama is doing, with 48% giving him good marks to 49% who are unhappy with him. Romney has negative favorability numbers with 46% of voters viewing him positively to 49% with an unfavorable opinion. But that's up a net 9 points from June when he was at a -12 spread (41/53).
A lot of that improvement has to do with Republicans continuing to warm up to Romney. His favorability with them is now 85/13 after previously being 71/23. We saw similar improvement for him on our Iowa poll over the weekend with GOP voters where he's now at 82/12 compared to a previous 72/19.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
After seeing the Roll Call vote last week from Nevada, I honestly think that most of Nevada is NUTS!!
Those were our little Paulbots. Aren’t they special?
Had to put a special rule in place for our special nitwits... Sigh...
That was EMBARRASSING!!!
That was their goal. I can’t post links to RGJ, but you can do a search and see their stupid stunt they pulled at our state GOP convention a few months after the state caucus.
Not going to happen again. But people really need to get involved in their state GOP to prevent these things from happening.
This should let you know where we are headed as a nation.
I do not understand Nevada. Is all the Californians that moved there?
Harry Ried and the “Train from no where.”
The same group polled said they voted 54% to 39 % in favor of Obama over McCain last election.
Yep. And that’s why you have the dems letting them flood the country illegally.
Well then I guess R&R are screwed in Nevada.
Actually, I saw that as a major shift in voting sentiment and a positive sign along with the current polling trending toward Romney.
Dingy Harry's continued presence is a pretty big tip off in that regard.
Need to re-read.
Who knows the final vote, but Obama did have an 8 pt lead in March that shrinks to 6 in June then shrinks to 3 most recently.
when that is happening, is that time say “we give up”?
I cannot find the D/R breakdown. Overall, Obama underwater in approval, and Romney doing better with blacks than Bushbor McCain. So, till we know more, this is “not proven”. The trend, however is very good and at this rat will have the right result on election night-—but I don’t want to rely on trends.
Be wary of Public Policy Polling. They are a democrat outfit likely over sampling dems.
38/34/28 = D/R/I. It’s there but you have to hit an additional link embedded in the source article.
well, yeah, I think we’ve known that for a while
Back during the housing boom Vegas had a huge influx of people seeking jobs in the building and casino sectors. It seems many of them never left. Obama's people did a great job of getting the casino workers to vote for him in the primary, whether they were citizens or not.
Look at the internals of the poll.
We have a libertarian and conservative base here in Nevada. When they protest vote or stay home, then the California refugees who still vote like they did in California plus the SEIU / Clark County factor determines the outcome of an election.
When the conservative base is motivated, good things like Gov. Brian Sandoval happen.
There are 50,000 more Democrats than Republicans in this state. If our base is not excited here, it will spell disaster for both the Senate and the Presidency.
Democrats from California came out here specifically for Obama GOTV efforts. They already started knocking on doors in my district, which leans Republican but I guess it is considered purple now.
If we do not have that level of involvement, I shudder to think what is going to happen.
I have been going to the Facebook page of Hispanics for Obama and reminding them of the unemployment rate of Hispanics, how much debt Obama has accumulated, and how few Hispanics are part of this administration. Even if I can change a few minds, it will be something.
I know a lot of Freepers don’t want the GOP to bother “reaching out” to Hispanics, but I am willing to do almost anything to make sure Obama doesn’t get another four years to continue his destruction of America. If trying to persuade Hispanics to vote for R/R is pandering, so be it. Anything to stop Obama.
Exactly. What would you expect from people stupid enough to re-elect Reid? I just don’t get it.
Good! That is the kind of stuff we need to do more of!
That is activism at a very basic level. You will not be able to make an accurate measure of your success but so what.
Among women consensus plays a great role. If you can convince one or two and they convince one or two and a consensus forms, you have done very well.
Very very good for you
So, what only about a 1% Dem oversample? Or is NV redder?
Dims are over-sampled by 4 points:
Dims 38% Republicans 34% Other 28%
But that isn’t an oversampling. There really are more Dems the Reps in Nevada.
Increasingly so as the Mexican invasion continues unabated.
I think they are too and I live here!
Just because someone is Mormon doesn’t mean they aren’t Democrats.
There is one our neighbors keep sending back to Washington.
Lest we forget, Dingy Harry’s Dingy son, Rory Reid, was the Clark county Commission Chairman.
Clark county is, by far, the most populous county in Nevada (Las Vegas) and you can be sure that all the dead people there will be voting democrat, along with the illegals, pets, and other critters.
Keep in mind that this is after willard fest but before hussein fest. Each party typically gets a bump from its convention. Id look at the numbers in about 2 weeks to get a sense for how all this is going to sort out.
Most importantly, remember that the national polls don’t tell you much. The President is selected by the electoral college. It is very possible for a candidate to win the popular vote but lose in the EC. It happened in 2000.
Good for you. We need to do this.
I saw this on a website. This is the stuff that every voter needs to know ... sharing for others to use to make the case for firing Obama.
Why has Obama waged War on Women, Minorities, Families and College Students?
Obama: “we tried our plan and it worked”. 7/25/2012
Results of Obama’s War on Americans:
23 million unemployed
43 straight months of 8+% unemployment
45 million on food stamps
Black poverty at record highs
The middle class has lost 40% of its net worth under Obama
Black youth unemployment over 50%
Hispanic unemployment at 10.3%
illegals due to receive roughly $7.4 billion through Obama’s Additional Child Tax Credit.
Food prices up 15% under Obama
Gas prices doubled under Obama
Obama has the worst job creation record since 1945 (BLS)
Obama recovery the worst in 75 years
Median household income $4,300 declines under Obama
Average family health insurance up $1,500 under Obama
Added $6 trillion to our debt...more than all Prezs. Combined
Presided over only US credit downgrade
Over 100 million people on some form of means tested welfare
Many in America wanted to be proud when the first person of color was elected president, but instead, they have been witness to a congenital liar, a woman who has been ashamed ofAmerica her entire life, failed policies, intimidation, and a commonality hitherto not witnessed in political leaders.
If Obama’s plan worked as he claims why do America’s people go homeless, hungry and unemployed.
Vote Obama the Failure out in Nov. Save America
Excellent. Posting it on my FB.
This poll was done before the convention. See the internals.
Nevada Poll: (Public Policy Polling) August 29 2012
Who did you vote for in 2008?
John McCain : 39%
Barack Obama: 54%
Someone else/Don't remember: 7% (people who are embarrassed to say Obama)
IF the candidates for president this year where Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney who would you vote for.
Mitt Romney: 47%
Barack Obama: 50%
This means to me: Roughly 8% less people who voted for Obama last time say they are going to vote for this time.
If you take into the number who say someone else / can't remember that makes it 36% less, but that may be my wishful thinking.
Democrats sampled: 11% more than republicans
Women sampled: 21% more than men
Trend is going ROmneys way just like in most other states. If Hispanics don’t turn out in 2008 numbers Romney probably takes Nevada if the polling is good.