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PPP: Heller hanging on over Berkley (NV Senate: Heller +2)
Public Policy Polling ^ | August 28, 2012 | Dustin Ingalls

Posted on 09/02/2012 3:12:55 AM PDT by sf4dubya

Raleigh, N.C. – Dean Heller has retained a razor-thin lead over his Democratic challenger Shelley Berkley in his fight for a full term in the Senate.  The appointed senator has 47% to Berkley’s 45% with likely voters in this fall’s election, not much different than the 44-43 edge he had in PPP’s last poll of the state in early June.

Both candidates have consolidated support from their respective parties and cut down on attrition to the opposite party’s candidate.  Berkley has an 81-11 advantage with Democrats, up from 73-18, while Heller has an 86-11 lock on the GOP (71-16).  Heller has also upped his lead with independents from 45-38 to 50-37.

Berkley has a five-point lead with her gender, but Heller a 12-point one with his, not much different than in the previous poll.  But while Berkley has upped her lead from nine to 22 points with the sizeable share of Hispanic voters, and from 34 to 62 with African Americans, Heller balances that out by turning an eight-point advantage with majority whites to a 20-point lead.

The closest Berkley has come to Heller in any PPP poll is a tie last October, but Heller has had a lead of one to three points for the last five months, and his average lead in six polls since April 2011 has been the same two points by which he leads now.

“The Nevada Senate race remains a toss up,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Shelley Berkley has weathered the storm and kept the race close.”

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: berkley; heller; nevada; senate
Internals at link. Ras hasn't polled since late July.
1 posted on 09/02/2012 3:12:58 AM PDT by sf4dubya
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To: sf4dubya

Ras has a new high for GOPers nationally 37.6. This over samples Democrats 4 points.


2 posted on 09/02/2012 3:51:13 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: sf4dubya

I don’t understand how we can have so many Republicans winning Senate and Governor seats in all these blue states yet we can never carry their electoral votes for President.


3 posted on 09/02/2012 4:03:02 AM PDT by jb729
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To: jmaroneps37

Ras hasn’t polled NV in over a month.

Remember Harry Reid was trailing any Republican by a large margin about 4 months out from the election? Stuff changes quickly here.


4 posted on 09/02/2012 4:21:52 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: jb729

Lots of libertarians and conservatives in this state. Protest votes or just staying home, so the California refugees who still vote here as they did there plus the SEIU / Clark County factor takes over.


5 posted on 09/02/2012 4:27:32 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: jmaroneps37

State level party numbers don’t necessarily reflect national averages.

The GOP incumbent is still consistently under 50%.


6 posted on 09/02/2012 4:31:21 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: jb729

I don’t understand how we can have so many Republicans winning Senate and Governor seats in all these blue states yet we can never carry their electoral votes for President.

I still think there is a huge part of America that likes a split government.


7 posted on 09/02/2012 6:24:53 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
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To: 9YearLurker

There isn’t really an incumbent as far as in the usual political sense because this Senator was recently appointed - essentially an open seat where both have the same name ID as new to the voters in the state at large so I wouldn’t use the “under 50%” rule as the same kind of danger sign as you might in other races.


8 posted on 09/02/2012 8:37:59 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: sf4dubya

Wait a minute (from an outside observer) is this a Nevada race or a North Carolina one? I am bit confused..


9 posted on 09/02/2012 9:21:18 PM PDT by JSDude1
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