[expat1000]

One thing that concerns me, is on Intrade, after moving down to +11, Obama is back up to a whopping +16% over Romney. What do those people know that we don’t?

[CincyRichieRich]

One thing that concerns me, is on Intrade, after moving down to +11, Obama is back up to a whopping +16% over Romney. What do those people know that we don’t?

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Thank you! that was one part I meant to include...the 62-38 favor of 0bummer...who are the “investors in Intrade”? Meaning, are they libs or what? In theory, you would expect Intrade to follow say, Rasmussen polls.

[sam_paine]

One thing that concerns me, is on Intrade, after moving down to +11, Obama is back up to a whopping +16% over Romney. What do those people know that we don’t?

They know that the way a market works is that at the endpoint, the Intrade numbers will match up 100% with the election results because that's the way it works.

What it does before that up and down has absolutely nothing to do with the end result.

If markets are always accurate, then why does the term "market correction" exist?

[justlurking]

One thing that concerns me, is on Intrade, after moving down to +11, Obama is back up to a whopping +16% over Romney. What do those people know that we don’t?

Intrade can be manipulated with a relatively small amount of money.

[JPG]

Many Intrade players are overseas and may see things from an ‘Obama is great’ vantage point. Intrade has my check (presently waiting to clear) and it will all go on Romney. I figure if Romney does win, I'll make some money but if O wins, it's all pretty much down the tubes, anyway.