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Saudi Arabia will cease to be an oil exporter by 2030
The Telegraph ^ | 5 September 2012 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Posted on 09/05/2012 7:36:45 AM PDT by Cronos

If Citigroup is right, Saudi Arabia will cease to be an oil exporter by 2030, far sooner than previously thought.

A 150-page report by Heidy Rehman on the Saudi petrochemical industry should be sober reading for those who think that shale oil and gas have solved our global energy crunch.

..The basic point – common to other Gulf oil producers – is that Saudi local consumption is rocketing. Residential use makes up 50pc of demand, and over two thirds of that is air-conditioning.

The Saudis also consume 250 litres per day of water – the world's third highest (which blows the mind), growing at 9pc a year – and most of this is provided from energy-guzzling desalination plants.

...The Saudis already consume a quarter of their 11.1m barrels a day of crude output. They are using more per capita than the US even though their industrial base as a share of GDP is much smaller.

The country already consumes all its gas. (Neighbouring Kuwait is now importing LNG gas from Russia:

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2012; drillheredrillnow; energy; oil; saudiarabia
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To: 2banana; cripplecreek

There’s a reason why Saddam easily rolled over Kuwait. The military was made up of TCN’s who could give two $hits about the country.

One base was taken over with out a single shot being fired.


21 posted on 09/05/2012 8:17:16 AM PDT by TSgt (The only reason I have one in the chamber at all times, is because it is impossible to have two in.)
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To: henkster
They'll have to change their taste in cars.
22 posted on 09/05/2012 8:22:25 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The Slave Party Switcheroo: Economic crisis! Zero's eligibility Trumped!! Hillary 2012!!!)
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To: TSgt
And they are “green!” Imagine that! ;)

Hydro also produces wealth in the sense that they create prime real estate around them.

Even in the midst of the worst drought of my lifetime the water is still roaring through the millrace outside my bedroom winder. Its not flowing over the spillway but that's fine.
23 posted on 09/05/2012 8:23:39 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: 2banana
Saudi Arabia produces NOTHING. Even for their oil they have armies of foreign workers to get it out of the ground.

They wouldn't even have functioning indoor pluming without their Third Country Nationals (TCNs), or indentured servants.

24 posted on 09/05/2012 8:40:16 AM PDT by Never on my watch (I can see November from the Chick-Fil-A drive through lane.)
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To: ZULU

WHAT will the Saudi’s export THEN?

They will send us and sponsor another radical Muslim to Play President. Who do you think gives Obama his marching orders? ANS: Iran and Saudi Arabia.


25 posted on 09/05/2012 8:41:04 AM PDT by politicianslie (Obama: Our first Muslim PRESIDENT,destroying America $1 Trillion at a time! And America sleeps)
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To: Carry_Okie

Don’t want one; too much glare for me. LOL.


26 posted on 09/05/2012 8:43:02 AM PDT by henkster (We're the slaves of the phony leaders...)
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To: 2banana

“Saudis think they are “blessed” with their wealth and deserved to live in luxury for NO WORK.”

Sounds just like the Democrats.


27 posted on 09/05/2012 8:45:29 AM PDT by MeganC (The Cinemark theatre in Aurora, CO is a 'Gun Free Zone'. Spread the word.)
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To: politicianslie

I agree.


28 posted on 09/05/2012 8:50:58 AM PDT by ZULU (See: http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=D9vQt6IXXaM&hd)
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To: P.O.E.; youngidiot; ZULU; Biggirl
This is actually very good news for the world. the spread of militant islam is directly tied to the 1970s oil spike which made Saudi incredibly rich and they started sponsoring madrassasas etc. spreading their brand of Wahabbi Islam around the world.

With the oil gone, the money goes and Islam's most virulent strand dies...

29 posted on 09/05/2012 9:10:56 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: driftdiver; Old Retired Army Guy

dd is correct — the only thing preventing an “arab spring” in Saudia is that the royal family bribes the locals with welfare. your average saudi citizen is useless for anything and gets everything from the state


30 posted on 09/05/2012 9:12:09 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: Cronos

I agree.


31 posted on 09/05/2012 9:13:01 AM PDT by youngidiot (The name's Bond. James Bond. James Bond Jovi.)
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To: Cronos

“..The basic point – common to other Gulf oil producers – is that Saudi local consumption is rocketing. Residential use makes up 50pc of demand, and over two thirds of that is air-conditioning.”

I trust they would be making use of some type of evaporative cooling instead of Direct Expansion systems with refrigerant and compressors given the dry, hot climate.


32 posted on 09/05/2012 9:27:06 AM PDT by headstamp 2 (What would Scooby do?)
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To: politicianslie

They have lots of sunlight. They would make a prime candidate for solar energy. It rains about a week total for one year. You can’t take cold showers except during the colder months because the pipes heat up during the day.

One place I lived we had to disconnect the water heater and use that water for showers. They stored all the water in a huge tank above ground and it would be too hot to use in the shower.


33 posted on 09/05/2012 9:27:13 AM PDT by USAF80
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To: henkster

They have found that some of the oil fields are replenishing their oil so they may never run out.


34 posted on 09/05/2012 9:28:42 AM PDT by USAF80
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To: Cronos

We need to speed that up by encouraging the wider use of naural gas for transport fuel. See my tagline.


35 posted on 09/05/2012 9:37:03 AM PDT by meatloaf (Support Senate S 1863 & House Bill 1380 to eliminate oil slavery.)
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To: Cronos

Correct, but you have to fill that vacuum. Right now Egypt, Turkey, Iran and Libya are moving quickly in the more radical direction.


36 posted on 09/05/2012 9:37:56 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Carry_Okie

That same tribalistic, consumption lead economy exists in our nations ghettos and boardrooms. It’s got to stop.


37 posted on 09/05/2012 9:39:22 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Cronos

Sounds like they could use a couple of Russian made nuclear reactors.


38 posted on 09/05/2012 9:39:59 AM PDT by Sawdring
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To: ZULU

The sword.


39 posted on 09/05/2012 9:55:37 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: henkster

Today’s Saudi oil use is not indicative of future use. Over 10 years ago the had begun a $50 billion conversion and expansion for phase 1 of a vast conversion to natural gas for much of the current domestic use.

I had planned to move back to the Arabian Peninsula for the start of this. Each area of the gas production centers were called Core Venture 1, 2 & 3. My wife and I were going through an all day orientation class when our future plans as well as Saudi Arabia’s changed. That was on Sept 11, 2001.

After several years of delay, the begun on a much smaller scale. But the projects are still going forward. At the same time they are building what will be the largest petrochemical/Refining complex in the world. Eventually they plan to export no oil at all and use little themselves


40 posted on 09/05/2012 10:01:30 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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