Posted on 09/06/2012 1:32:44 PM PDT by Arthurio
Poll: Romney up 3 in Ohio, best showing since June
By Justin Sink - 09/05/12 08:25 PM ET
Mitt Romney has opened a 3-point lead in the pivotal swing state of Ohio, according to a new poll released Wednesday — the Republican nominee's best showing since June.
The Republican ticket garnered support of 47 percent of those surveyed, versus 43 percent for Democrats, according to a poll released by Gravis Marketing. President Obama has led consistently in the polls since June, although that lead has been usually within the margin of error.
Meanwhile, 10 percent of voters remain unsure in the pivotal contest, or say they would back a third-party candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Undecided means they are sick of Obama but haven’t settled on Romney yet. They will either break for Romney, or stay home.
Isn’t 47-43 = 4?
If it’s a solid 3 point lead that’s a pretty good lead at this point. By “solid” I mean that those who say they’re going to vote for each candidate aren’t going to change their minds. The rule of thumb is undecideds break for the challenger.
The history of past elections and polls suggest that undecided tend to break against the incumbent by 2 to 1 or even 3 to 1 in some elections.
Historically, elections with an incumbent are largely a referendum on that person. So, undecideds tend to go strongly against the incumbent on election day.
Shouldn’t it be a 4 point lead? My math skills are not the best in the world but 47-43 isn’t that 4..either way glad that Romney is leading I feel that his lead is even stronger than that
I wonder if Boehner has any clout that he can lend to Romney. Does the Speaker have coattails?
Noticed the same...somebody needs to re-take kiddie math.
Thanks for the post. Good news.
Math Grade: - Incomplete
So why are some reporting that Romney is pulling ads in Ohio? Shouldn’t Romney be pouring it on?
Republican Governor,John Kasich has the best coattails for Romney/Ryan.
Not to worry. The Romney Campaign and his Super Pacs know what they’re doing.
You don’t run ads during the Democrat Convention, that is wasted money.
Agree. Obama is the status quo candidate. Want more of this? Vote for him. Undecided breaks mostly for challenger.
Huge money burn by Obama with negative ads.
It’s the economy, stupid! Just need to keep hammering that.
synergy joke :)
Could be a rounding thing, it could be 46.5 to 43.4. In which case it’s 47-43 when rounded but the actual lead is just 3.1%.
Boehner represents one district in Ohio, even though he’s Speaker.
That said, I haven’t seen any polling on Boehner’s standing in the state. Doubt they would poll on that specific question.
Ohio has several Republican office holders statewide, and you can bet they are helping Romney/Ryan in every possible way. Kasich is Governor and Portman is one of the two Senators.
Have also read that State Treasurer Josh Mandel (ex-Marine) who’s running for the other Senate seat is very popular and may be helping draw people out to vote for him who will also vote Romney/Ryan.
Ryan was picked, in part, with Ohio in mind as well as Wisconsin. Everywhere in Ohio Ryan goes he mentions that he attended Miami of Ohio University and got his degree there. LOL
Their strategy is aimed strongly at the Upper Midwest, of which both Wisconsin and Ohio are part.
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