You are correct. I wouldnt trust the +4 R number until we see it in November.
The other thing, though is that the Gallup is an RV poll not an LV poll. The LV universe is more R than all RVs.
Gallup is not skewing their sample at all, unlike some others.
Yeah, but 2010 says its not +4 and who is less pissed off now than then?