Does the CU poll hold any water? Never heard of ‘em.
Wenzel Strategies conducted a survey of likely General Election voters statewide in Missouri regarding the race for the U.S. Senate. The survey was conducted September 10-11, 2012, and included 850 respondents. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.33 percentage points.
It’s a push poll seeking a specific result.
The only Missouri Senate Polls I’d take seriously are the two most recent Rassmussen ones, and the Mason-Dixon poll.
“Does the CU poll hold any water? Never heard of em.”
Isn’t Citizens United the David Bossie organization? Sorry but Romney up 20 points while Rasmussan has him up 3?? We need to apply the same analysis to CU as anyone else - show me the internals and we can judge fairly. This might be as much an agenda poll as some of the PPP crap we see.
And full disclosure, I’m another one who thought Akin should have stepped aside.
We would have to see the internals to determine whether it is valid. Men vs. women, political affiliation, race, etc... then compare those to the MO baseline.
Predicted Arizona - Schweikert over Quayle ( correct - but overestimated the magnitude of lead)
Predicted Mourdock over Lugar (Correct - but underestimated magnitude of lead)
Predicted Cruz win in run off and was within a few points of the margin over 2 weeks ahead of the election.
Not a bad track record. There were other good calls I found in my research.