Posted on 09/13/2012 6:05:13 PM PDT by Publius804
The post-Labor Day, post-conventions polls show President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney in the three key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, which ratchets up pressure on Romney to turn things around in the debates in October.
Obama is ahead of Romney by five points among likely voters, 49 percent to 44 percent, in both Florida and Virginia, and in Ohio, he has a seven-point lead, 50 percent to 43 percent, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.
“You’d rather be in Obama’s shoes than Romney’s in these three critical states,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, NBC News reported, adding that the leads are not “insurmountable.”
Things could change when the candidates face off at the first presidential debate on Oct. 3 in Denver.
Obama won the three states in 2008 and George W. Bush won them in 2004, according to NBC. Romney likely needs to capture at least two of the three battleground states to win the White House but Obama can reach 270 electoral votes by winning just one or two of these battlegrounds as long as he wins the other states considered to be in the Democrat column.
Miringoff noted that most voters in these battleground states have already made up their minds.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
consider the source......NBC, Nothing But Crap
I stopped at NBC
Oversampled by Democrats +18.
Obama voters over-sampled by an average of +11 in these skewed polls, and they can only manage 5 to seven points? No. I’m not worried.
Are we sure that isn't supposed to be Marxist? I'm sure this is just another BS poll.
Really? Wow...thanks for the insight
Is the ‘squishy middle’ of American politics so easily swayed by polls they’d support a candidate simply to be on the winning side?
Wages down, more Americans in poverty, food stamp nation, retreating overseas with horrible foreign policy.
How could any American support four more years of this nightmare? Unbelievable.
I don’t believe it but I guess we’ll find out Nov. 6.
Hopefully, Floridah, Ohio, and Virgina, after you guys re-elect 0zer0, we can have more dead, raped ambassdors, more stolen sensistive documents, less allies, nuclear war in the middle east.
Go ahead. Do it.
It’s about to turn towards Romney after the Middle East foul up.
Wonderful. We are going to have 4+ more years of this stumble bumb.
Take anything from NBC or any other big media poll with a grain of salt. There is lots of Dem oversampling going on and they trail the GOP & Conserv/Mod Indy group by a huge margin.
And the Republican candidate - Mitt Romney! Can you imagine a more outrageous provocation of the proletariat than this capitalist running dog?
The wheel of history is turning!
These polls are oversampled Dem horseshit. It’s gonna be a closer election than we want it to be, but Obama is not ahead by 5% anywhere except in lost cause states(NY, CA, etc.).
Won’t last, for those who are inclined, there is some good money to be made over @ intrade. com
No Barack Criticism......
Stinks to high heaven. These idiots are just building Obama up so they can feign outrage and say the election was stolen when Obama eats a crap sandwich in November.
A.) Oversampled Dems - especially in Ohio (D+10)
B.) Polled 9/9 - 9/11 - tail end of DNC Bounce and anniversary of 9/11 - huge benefit for Obama
C.) Polled BEFORE Middle East blew up.
D.) Obama can’t break 50 in any poll - despite A, B,& C.
Obama will lose in a landslide.
Hugely over sampled democrats.
This is laughable.
Wow. Where did you see that? If you could link it, that would be very helpful.
Doesn’t Romney have to have all three of these states to win 270 electoral votes? Thre are so few surprises any more in presidential elections. The American people are as predictable as an old shoe.
Garbage poll, the Rasmussen poll shows no such movement in the states mentioned. This is more media “drive the political horse race story line” garbage polling
Brian Williams arrogance is going to get shipwrecked on the hard rocks of reality.
No this is just the usual garbage in garbage out media polling. The professional pollsters show no such dramatic movement in these states
A.) Oversampled Dems - especially in Ohio (D+10)
B.) Polled 9/9 - 9/11 - tail end of DNC Bounce and anniversary of 9/11 - huge benefit for Obama
C.) Polled BEFORE Middle East blew up.
D.) Obama can’t break 50 in any poll - despite A, B,& C.
Obama will lose in a landslide.
23 posted on 09/13/2012 6:21:46 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
In Ohio they also under sampled independent at only 10. I noticed this lately that now the Ind are leaning Romney they are not sampling them
Skip to comments.
(Better News in this story): Ohio Is Neck and Neck
Breitbart.com ^ | 13 Sep 2012 | William Bigelow
Posted on Thursday, September 13, 2012 8:21:29 PM by Publius804
Two new polls indicate that contrary to the media hype, Ohio is now a toss-up between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama. The American Research poll, conducted between September 10-12, showed Obama ahead 47% to 46%. The latest Rasmussen poll shows exactly the same numbers.
There are positive subtexts for Romney in both polls. In the American Research poll, independents favored Romney by a whopping margin, 53% to 37%. This bodes well for Romney with those who remain undecided. In the Rasmussen poll, voters said they trusted Romney on the economy more, which will ultimately prove pivotal, but the biggest edge they gave Obama was, strangely enough, on issues of national security
What the hell happened to Newmax !
http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/story/19536310/presidential-poll-for-the-michigan-general-election
I paid $4.35.9 for non ethanol Premium this moring in Mississippi.
LLS
2008 Presidential Election
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection
polls (as reported on pollster.com)
2008 Notice Marixst is number 15 and NBC is number 13 on the list. Worse then even Daily Kos, a Leftist propaganda website
.
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23
by five points among likely voters, 49 percent to 44 percent, in both Florida ...
LOL! here in Florida? No.
Yo, Publius!: If you’re gonna post a poll then you should feel obligated to not only post links to the actual polls and the accompanying internals but try to post an article that actually has links to the poll(s)! Crap post from the start.
I’m weeding through the pdfs to look at the internals but at least in Florida I’ve seen a five point level of Dems polled while 30% are supposedly Indies. That makes it even at worst and plus Romney by 3 or 4 at best.
Throw out Dems and GOP, just look at the sum of all independent likely voters, and we will have the best measure of the state of the electorate.
I’ve mentioned this before, but I live in blue collar central that was strongly for Obama four years ago, and the tone has changed dramatically, with only the fringe kooks in his corner. I don’t buy these polls at all.
$4.56 here in CT for the same.
Ding ding! We have a winner. Not only to play the "outraged card" but also to attempt to cripple Romney from the get-go.
Who would dare?
Had to do some looking. This poll over sampled Democrats by about +10%, under sample Republicans by -2%, and under sampled Independent by - %8 using Rasmussen’s party ID trends reported on Sept 1st.
NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
“Survey of 1,352 registered voters, including 980 likely voters, was conducted September 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party registration (among registered voters): 42% (43%) Democrat; 36% (35%) Republican; 22% (21%) Independent. Party registration (among likely voters): 41% Democrat; 38% Republican; 20% Independent. Ideology (among registered voters): 34% (34%) Moderate; 30% (29%) Conservative; 18% (19%) Liberal; 12% (12%) Very conservative; 6% (6%) Very liberal. Ideology (among likely voters): 33% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 18% Liberal; 13% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal.”
http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2012/09/poll-watch-nbc-newswall-street.html
Because of his harsh words for the terrorists? /s
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