They both cannot be right. ONE of them has to be wrong. So who am I to believe the number 1 ranked or the number 15 ranked pollster?
Romney slipping in the polls? Really?
Here’s a link to the Huntington Post electoral map projection.
A little background first.
About a month ago, I bookmarked this web page, and I’ve been visiting it frequently. I know, I know, it’s the Huntington Post. I expect it to be biased. Knowing that, if Romney’s numbers look anything near normal, that has to mean he’s much more competitive than we think.
When I started visiting the site, Obama was rated at about 310 electoral votes, and Romney about 140, the rest leaning Obama.
Since that time, there has been a marked slide of Obama’s numbers. Obama is now at 243 electoral votes, and for the first time Romney is shown to be above 200 at 206 electoral votes.
In the last 48 hours, Obama’s numbers dropped again from 247 to 243 votes. Romney’s went from a little above 190 to 206.
So I find it interesting that people like Kim Strassel are trying their best to convey the idea that the Romney Campaign is flagging. It isn’t.
It’s Obama that can’t fill campaign stops with supporters, and it’s Romney and Ryan that are being enthusiastically supported with overflowing crowds.
There are other related polls linked at the bottom of the Huntington Post projection page.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map
LLS
Just think about this. Those who voted for Obama in 2008 and won't in 2012... that's a really big group.
Those who did not vote for him in 2008, but will in 2012... that's a really small group (gotta be mostly new-voting kids 18-21 who were too young in '08).
Everyone else will stay the mostly the same. Any who voted for McCain will vote for Mitt. Few additions or subtractions there.
Obama has to either import or manufacture the votes to make up for the millions who no longer are voting by racial guilt, those millions who see what his version of Hope and Change actually brings, and those millions who are no longer moved by the "historic" vote for someone with a higher melanin content in their epidermis. They'll try, of course... but I don't see it going well for them.