The most important thing is that Obama’s post-Convention bounce did not last. He’s been under 50% for most of the last 3 years. What’s going to happen in the next 6 weeks to change that?
Forget about the head to head match up with Romney. If you look at the polls over the last 3 years, there is a disconnect between Obama’s low approval ratings on the issues, and his decent personal approval ratings. This is a result of the American people suffering while the MSM buries every last piece of bad news and doesn’t lay a glove on Obama.
On election day, the American people will no longer be choosing between “how do like Obama’s policies?” and “how do you like Obama as a person?”. Instead, they’ll be choosing if they want to spend another 4 years at the mercy of Obama’s policies.
Bounce is fading in gallup also. Obama down to four point lead from eight. Obama 49 Romney 45. Approval rating dropping too.