[NoLibZone]

In the last week , the MSM will have to try and salvage their reputations with stories of the unexpected dramatic shift to Mitt.

[Sarah Barracuda]

So basically it’s tied which is bad for Obama..the media is relying on a 2008 model. No way do Dems outnumber Republicans this time around. The media is just trying to use these polls as an excuse that way in November when Romney wins they can blame it on Voter ID laws

[lowteksh]

Reweighted by party ID from past elections:

Poll:

Obama: 48.52%, Romney: 46.80% (Difference: 1.72%)

2010 Turnout (GOP: 35/DEM: 33/IND: 32):

Romney: 48.56%, Obama: 46.81%

2008 Turnout (GOP: 31/DEM: 30/IND: 39):

Romney: 47.86%, Obama: 47.27%

2004 Turnout (GOP: 38/DEM: 29/IND: 33):

Romney: 51.46%, Obama: 43.84%

Split the “other” vote equally from each candidate and split the undecideds 60/40 for Romney and you get:

2010: 50.55% Romney, 48.14% Obama
2008: 49.85% Romney, 48.60% Obama
2004: 53.45% Romney, 45.17% Obama

[SamAdams76]

Obama won Colorado by 9% in 2008. A trend we are seeing all across the country. Obama only slightly leading in states he won handily four years ago. In actuality, Romney is probably ahead in all these states as all the so-called undecideds are going to end up in his column.

The media are using the undecideds (5-8% of the vote) to make this a horse race when history shows that undecideds always break in favor of the challenger by Election Day.

[GR_Jr.]

My Uncle lives CO. He hates 0bama. But he says if you go into Denver and the suburbs, it’s utterly hopeless, 60% plus support for the Kenyan in those parts.

He says the only hope Romney has is real heavy turnout in the rural areas (minus Aspen) and El Paso County (Colorado Springs). But he says even with heavy turnout by the GOP, he still thinks 0bama has enough votes in the Denver area to offset it and will win CO. He says CO is pretty much a blue state now.

[OrangeHoof]

It’s likely voters, that’s good, but there are two splits I find questionable:

Independents favor Obama 48-45. That doesn’t match the polling in most battleground states where Romney typically has a double-digit lead with indies.

Similarly, whites only favor Romney 50-46 in a state with a lot of Mormons. Maybe they did all their polling in Boulder.

[RoseofTexas]

It doesn’t FREAKIN MATTER!!...CO folk, go out and bring EVERYONE who is voting BUT can’t get to the polls!! THE FIGHT ain’t with the pollsters BUT WITH AN EVIL man who is SO WILLING to destroy this country and I FOR ONE AIN’T GONNA LET HIM!!! SCREW THE POLLS and work hard as YOUR CHILDREN’S LIVES AND YOURS depended on it!! First they came for your freedoms, next to extinguish the lives of every Jew, and Christian, either they be young or old they are coming for us!! What you gonna do...roll over and play poll numbers...HELL NO!! LET’S KICK SOME A$$! THE FIGHT IS ON! Remember: GOD IS OUR ONLY SOURCE and remember the battle of Gideon! Guess who won that battle? You guessed right!! Now lets go!! If you live in CO stand at busy street corners(this cost nothing) with signs, go door to door, stand across the Denver stadium holding signs with a good scary message on it...DO WHATEVER to defeat and drive that stake right into this EVIL COMMUNIST PIG and his PARTY’s heart!!

[Jet Jaguar]

bump

[Sooth2222]

Obama: 49%, Romney: 47%

Another reason I wouldn't buy this -- 8 weeks from the election and a week after Labor Day -- and only 3% are undecided / 1 % voting for 3rd party candidates?

That's just not believable.

[Jaguarmike]

Question. Why doesn’t ARG show up in the Real Clear Politics average? Maybe it does, but I can’t find it.

Is it a reliable poll?

Not trying to start any arguments, just want an answer.

[BfloGuy]

I’d be more interested in these polls if we elected a president by popular national vote. We don’t.