[xzins]

By the numbers, Lake, Romney is playing catch-up.

Do you disagree that any of these are safe or likely Obama? That’s 201 right there.

Likely Obama Safe Obama
-21 -180
ME (4) CA (55)
MN (10) CT (7)
OR (7) DC (3)
DE (3)
HI (4)
IL (20)
MA (11)
MD (10)
NJ (14)
NM (5)
NY (29)
RI (4)
VT (3)
WA (12)

[Lakeshark]

201 isn't 276. Any dem would get those you just pointed to.

I wish it weren't so close, but the fact is, it looks like a squeaker. Neither are very good candidates, Romney is actually doing better than I predicted some months ago. There are six+ weeks to go, lots of room for change.

[TMA62]

I think that NM, ME, and MN are in play. Romney is active in NM. If the ME can vote for the two RINO broads, they can still vote Romney. MN is interesting, they do vote for repub governors. I think they will follow WI and vote Romney.