THE POLLS: SOLID AS A ROCK (It all comes down to turnout in the end)

Powerline ^ | 09/17/2012 | John Hindraker

[princess leah]

My mother-in-law just turned 80 this August and she has been living in Oregon 60+ years...she told my husband that this year, Oregon MAY just be in play for Romney!

[Cosmo]

Finally a sensible article about the polls.

[SkyPilot]

. But so many Americans are now cashing federal checks that self-interest drives many millions to vote Democrat, regardless of the public interest. Another factor is at work, too: more than ever, party affiliation reflects not so much empirical judgments about public policy issues, but deep-seated cultural affinity

But, Romney is not allowed to call out the 49% who deposit the checks.

Well, the Democrats have the taker and godless votes locked up; what else is new.

[ImProudToBeAnAmerican]

Have no fear - remember 2010 and remember CHIK-FIL-A!

[nomad]

Take into account that the pollsters have been consistently over sampling the rats. Anyone who routinely listens to the master "strategerist" "EL-Rushbo has heard his theory that its an attempt by the "drive by media" to dishearten and discourage our vote.

If Rush is right then around election time they`ll have no choice but to tell the truth or face irrelevancy after the fact that they screwed up so bad becomes plain to see. Keep up the fight and don`t give up yet, it ain`t over till it`s over.

[justlurking]

No, it was in one of the other threads about the video. I can’t copy/paste right now, so I can’t easily link it. I do remember the URL was to twitchy.com.

[ScottinVA]

But so many Americans are now cashing federal checks that self-interest drives many millions to vote Democrat, regardless of the public interest.

Spot on. The growing numbers of the parasitic class have grown so quickly and substantially, the percentage of those locked in for Obama are no less than 46 or 47 percent. That's why there won't be a landslide for Romney or any GOP presidential candidate ever again, without the wildcard of criminal charges, nuclear war, etc.

[DNME]

In my travels, I’m finding it difficult to find ANYBODY saying ANYTHING nice about Obummer.

I think most minds are already made up.

And the consensus opinion is to throw the bum out!

Too bad we don’t have a real conservative candidate, with a real spine and a flamethrower for a mouth, but Romney will have to do. Bring on November!

[Yardstick]

Hinderaker is onto something but I think it’s even bigger and deeper than he frames it here. I think what’s happened is that America is now confronting the age old question that’s had the West racking its collective brain for the last 2500 years or so. Which is, should men be free or should they be subject to the enlightened will of their betters? Our political parties have evolved such that they come down on opposite sides of this question more consistently and over a broader range of issues than ever before. The two answers can’t be reconciled and so we have two totally dug in camps.

So, I think this is about Big Stuff, and I don’t know how a civilization resolves this sort of thing. I guess through historical trial and error. What’s dismaying is that America had it all figured out. We had answered the question clearly and confidently and could have avoided the tumult. But we’ve gone sort of wobbly on our principles and so now we’re being dragged into it.

[Yardstick]

Make that clearly, confidently, and correctly...

[TomEwall]

Convincing the undecideds is very important as well. If you get one of them, that’s like getting two votes, one away from the other guy, and one for your guy. Getting out the vote is only “one” vote, since these were never going to vote for the other guy anyway.

So if the GOP and Dem turnout is roughly the same, then the undecideds get decide the issue.

So both getting out the vote and convincing undecideds is important.