The Trend is Your Friend!
Date Range 0’bummer Mittster
08/30-09/5/2012 47 46
08/31-09/6/2012 48 45
09/1-7/2012 49 45
09/2-8/2012 49 44
09/3-9/2012 49 44
09/4-10/2012 50 44
09/5-11/2012 50 43
09/6-12/2012 50 44
09/7-13/2012 49 44
09/8-14/2012 49 45
09/9-15/2012 48 45
09/10-16/2012 48 45
09/11-17/2012 47 46
“based on five-day rolling averages”
Which means the trend above will continue another day or two until it at least bottoms out.
Plus, it’s Registered, not Likely.
What is the oversample? I can’t find it.
Combine all those factors, and I could posit Romney up by 5 according to frickin’ Gallup!