Posted on 09/20/2012 9:49:38 AM PDT by profit_guy
You just ave to ask a few basic questions:
1) how many Republicans who voted for Zero I 08 will vote for him again? (I predict 0)
2) how many independents will he lose? I think the number is 65-70% .
3) how many "huts" and blacks who voted in 08 will not vote? I think that total number fall by 10, maybe 20%.
4) How many Catholics and Jews will desert him? 25%? 30? When you get outside polls, it gets very, very tough to find a way for Zero to win.
VA Ping!
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We went to the fair in Bluemont on Saturday, and drove back on the Snickersville turnpike. 99% Romney signs, easily.
permit me my own anecdotal evidence. My daughter goes to HS in the DelRay neighborhood of Alexandria. In 2008, the litte row house yards were blanketed with Obama signs. i have seen none thus far, but they DO have signs for local down the ticket candidates.
Some pollster called today. I told him to call back November 7th.
Frankly, I quit listening to all whiners (ours and theirs!) weeks ago -- immediately following the Republican convention when there was this collective "day of despair" that even the known conservative talk show hosts were discussing.
Watching some of the repeated fatalistic posts on Free Republic makes me very happy these posters were not there at Lexington and Concord.
I am fighting for the very freedom and future liberty of my five grandchildren this election cycle and sniveling whiners (wherever they be found) can stay at home and lick their wounds (or whatever they do when feeling sorry for themselves).
We need to fight ONE battle today, and for each of the days leading up to November 6 --- Obama Must Go!!.
AFTER that has been accomplished we can talk about pulling all our guys to the right.
Maybe they’re not so hot about advertising their stupidity this time around.
:)
I *rarely* see 0 bumper stickers and we have *all* the suburban freaks heading west on I70 every Friday night and back east on Sunday.
There’s just...’a lack’.
Cool....:)
I appear to be on the list for an ongoing phone tracking poll. Every week I get a call that asks the same questions.
One reason at least one poll is not reporting accurate numbers is that I lie to them - but just on every other question I am asked. I always select that I’m voting for Obama.
Statistics is a funny thing. “Poll Sampling” error is a reflection of the possible statistical variance of a sampled subgroup. For 1000 people, it’s on the order of 3% “error”. - but only if they tell the truth.
What the statistics don’t and can’t show is the error inserted by people like me who completely lie on some questions, and tell the truth on others. My selective truthfulness is something that cannot be quantified by a roomful of pollsters and statisticians. The error inserted by just one sample like me greatly diminishes the credibility of any conclusions they draw.
I figure if they call me uninvited, they deserve what they get.
I could just be a cranky SOB, but it makes me smile to think about the hopeful Obama-supporting pollsters compiling my data point thinking that their guy is “looking good in Virginia”
Romney may well lose but if so, narrowly. This is no 2008. Many of these polls are just implausible. Like Senate polls in WI showing a radical lesbo ahead of the popular Former Governor, give me a break.
And any poll showing Osama leading in NC, ridiculous, he won 49-49 last time with epic Black and retarded White college turnout.
Fairfax/Loudon/Fauquier/Clark Counties are a regular part of my world ... in 2008 they were sparsely decorated with 0bama signs and almost no McCain signs. Now ... I see very few 0bama signs and more R0mney signs in 2012 than 0bama signs in 2008.
FWIW.
I desperately want Romney to win, or rather Obama to lose.
Romney keeps playing the nice guy and explaining and back-filling and hoping to win friends.
Each time he has had a chance to nail something down, to strike a telling blow against Obama, he has flubbed a little if not a lot.
What makes you think he will perform well in the debates? Truly, I am looking for reasons to be optimistic. Thanks.
That is a solid, encouraging assessment. Appreciate the post.
Lucky you!
Mosby HWY/Rt 50 from Fairfax to Winchester is agonizingly beautiful.
next year, I’ll be making that trip on the bike...unless I’m going to be hauling another snake home....LOL
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