Posted on 09/20/2012 4:45:44 PM PDT by LS
Not to mention that Susquehanna polls tend to be outliers biased in the R direction, though the internals aren’t posted for this particular survey.
The Casey pup is among the dimmest of the dim bulbs and he shouldn’t be difficult to beat — one debate without teleprompters or earpieces would do him in for sure, but he’d never agree to that.
The statewide R candidates won narrowly in 2010 in a low-turout, off year election. This year the urban welfare monkey base and Democrat vote fraud machine will be fully energized. Smith has only the slimmest of chances here, but at least he’s trying (unlike the milquetoast at the top of the ticket).
It probably would not be real inaccurate to believe the electorate is 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 and base polls on that ration.
However, as you not these are often 40-D, 33-R, 27-I or worse clearly an attempt to produce a lead for The Disaster.
Adding to this is refusing to poll likely voters exclusively.
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