The "prefer another candidate" voters are basically Romney voters not ready to admit it yet. Yes, many of us truly prefer another candidate, but who? The third party candidate out there will combine for less than 1% of the vote on Nov 6 so ultimately they will need to choose between Romney and Obama.
Ditto for the undecideds. If you are not already in the Obama camp, you never will be. So move all the undecideds to Romney.
I think the 46% for Obama is overstated. We are probably looking at a 58-42% blowout for Romney at this point.
“Slide those undecided and “prefer another candidates” into the Romney column and it’s a 54-46% Romney victory.”
Not sure that will work. Some undecideds will vote for Obama. You can’t count on all of them for Romney. I’d think Romney getting two-thirds of those who claim to be undecided would be the best we can hope for.
There’s always some people who will still reluctantly vote for Obama (for their own peculiar reasons), but might not want to admit it because the country is in such bad shape. So they tell the pollster they’re “undecided.”
Can you see some person who will only vote for O because of their pet liberal social issues, but still think he’s been crappy on the economy? I know people like this. These are reluctant Obama voters who could still tell pollsters they’re “undecided.”