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To: SteveAustin

There are polls that do just that.

There are also pollsters who base their sample on the last Presidential Election year turn out. This is part of where you get the Democrat oversampled. 2008 was an abnormally good year for Dems. A reasonably conservative estimate is a 36D-32R-32I sample is reasonable for a national poll

All of these polls have biases factors. They are weighted by gender, race, age, cell phone use etc.Pollsters who do it for a living try really hard to find a rational sample mix. But even the best polling is an educated guess.

Media pollsters do not bother to try to be accurate. Their polling is push polling designed to generate a headline or validate a preconceived story line. No one goes back and tracks how far off reality they were.

The problem is too many Americans define reality by what the polls tell them to belive. The Leftists know this and exploit it.


60 posted on 09/23/2012 7:56:30 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

Ok so then let’s say the population in my state is 10 percent black but in my 1,000 random calls I only connected with 75 black voters. Do I then go back and give those 7.5 percent of black voters a 10 percent weighting in my poll?


62 posted on 09/23/2012 8:00:54 PM PDT by SteveAustin
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