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Elction 2012:Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 49%, Smith (R) 42% (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9-23-2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/24/2012 8:56:02 PM PDT by smoothsailing

Election 2012: Pennsylvania Senate

Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 49%, Smith (R) 42%

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, Jr. still holds the lead in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters finds Casey with 49% support to 42% for his Republican challenger Tom Smith. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

......

This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 19, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; pa2012
This poll dovetails nicely with the recent PA polls by Suesquehanna Polling for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review and the PA GOP. In all these polls Casey doesn't break 50% and Smith is closing the gap.
1 posted on 09/24/2012 8:56:04 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: randita; Tribune7

PA ping.


2 posted on 09/24/2012 8:57:41 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing
Does it say where this poll was conducted ?

Philly ?
3 posted on 09/24/2012 9:01:33 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: smoothsailing

Holy smoke, the whole country is ga-ga over Democrats. They’re going to run away with every contested election, looks like.

/s


4 posted on 09/24/2012 9:03:21 PM PDT by Steely Tom (If the Constitution can be a living document, I guess a corporation can be a person.)
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To: smoothsailing

I’m getting sick and tired of all the recent polls with the R trailing. Just damn...


5 posted on 09/24/2012 9:04:43 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: smoothsailing

Casey has the magic last name in PA.

Just like the names Saxbe, Celebreeze, and Taft are magic in Ohio next door.


6 posted on 09/24/2012 9:06:42 PM PDT by Emperor Palpatine ("On the ascent of Olympus, what's a botched bar or two?" -Artur Schnabel)
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To: tatown


DAMN THE POLLS! FULL SPEED AHEAD!!!
7 posted on 09/24/2012 9:08:44 PM PDT by Emperor Palpatine ("On the ascent of Olympus, what's a botched bar or two?" -Artur Schnabel)
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To: smoothsailing

I’m in Pennsylvania and will vote for TOM SMITH!!!!!!!

Casey sucks!


8 posted on 09/24/2012 9:09:04 PM PDT by tina07 (In loving memory of my father,WWII Vet. CBI 10/16/42-12/17/45, d. 11/1/85)
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To: Steely Tom

Yeah, everybody wants to be a Communist these days. With fearless leaders like Obama, Reid, Pelosi, and Wasserman-Schultz, is it any wonder?


9 posted on 09/24/2012 9:10:53 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Incumbent under 50%...winner will be Smith.


10 posted on 09/24/2012 9:13:09 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: tina07

Same here, tina! I think Smith has a real good chance.


11 posted on 09/24/2012 9:13:59 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

good grief, what the heck is going on!

Romney is going to take everyone down with him!


12 posted on 09/24/2012 9:19:07 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: Kahuna

That’s the way I see it too.


13 posted on 09/24/2012 9:25:37 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: tatown

This was looking like a 20 point blowout before. 49% is still too close to 50%, but the trend is in the right direction.


14 posted on 09/24/2012 9:28:02 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: TexasFreeper2009

What are you talking about? This PA race was never even on the radar as being winnable or even competitive and Casey was expected to run away with it 20+ points. The trend indicates things going in Smith’s direction if this is accurate.


15 posted on 09/24/2012 9:30:39 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Kahuna
Incumbent under 50%...winner will be Smith.

Not with that spread. Proponents of that theory like Morris say the undecided breaks 75-80% for the challenger. That leaves enough to put Casey over the top.

Casey has not only the magic last name, but the magic first name. His dad Bob Casey was a beloved governor, as beloved here as Ronald Reagan was or as the Kennedys are in Mass. It'll be easier for Romney to win PA than it will be for Casey to lose.

This is the kind of Senate seat you'll pick up only in a national landslide 40+ state sweep for Romney. Even in 2010's Tea Party sweep, Toomey only won by 2 points, and he wasn't running against a golden boy favorite son like Casey.

16 posted on 09/24/2012 9:36:50 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: smoothsailing

It’s the damage being done to these Senate races that bothers me most about this election. There are no coat tails at the top of the ticket. None.


17 posted on 09/24/2012 9:45:05 PM PDT by Tau Food (Tom Hoefling for President - 2012)
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To: smoothsailing

I hope so. I’m tired of living in democrat states, first NJ (birth to 2007) and now here. Have to join Glenn Beck in Texas soon!!


18 posted on 09/24/2012 9:47:42 PM PDT by tina07 (In loving memory of my father,WWII Vet. CBI 10/16/42-12/17/45, d. 11/1/85)
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To: JediJones
I agree with everything you say, but it all begs the question WHY?

Big Bob and Little Bobbie are cut from the same cloth. They were both do-nothing, borderline dull/normals, who were amiable empty suits. Does anyone remember anything either of them ever accomplished? Seriously. I'll take anything.

19 posted on 09/24/2012 9:47:54 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Spontaneous demonstrators with RPGs. Sure.)
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To: Tau Food
There's no "damage" being done, at least not in this case.

Little Bobbie has a magic name in PA and was expected to win by 20-25 points. Tom Smith is a complete unknown. These are actually very strong numbers.

20 posted on 09/24/2012 9:50:09 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Spontaneous demonstrators with RPGs. Sure.)
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To: Tau Food
It’s the damage being done to these Senate races that bothers me most about this election. There are no coat tails at the top of the ticket. None.

Because Tom Hoefling has such HUGE coattails he'd sweep them all in? LOL

21 posted on 09/24/2012 9:54:11 PM PDT by Tamzee (The U.S. re-electing Obama would be like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceberg again.)
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To: smoothsailing

Thank you for your service to your country, God Bless you!

(my son-in-law is full time Army, one tour in Iraq 2009-2010, just got word he’s getting deployed next fall to either Afghanistan, Kuwait or the Horn of Africa, not happy here)


22 posted on 09/24/2012 9:54:26 PM PDT by tina07 (In loving memory of my father,WWII Vet. CBI 10/16/42-12/17/45, d. 11/1/85)
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To: Tau Food

Nonsense, this is a Republican wave year shaping up, just like 2010. This PA election is a perfect example. Casey was running away with this, but now he’s not and he’s spending a ton on ads statewide.


23 posted on 09/24/2012 9:58:08 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: JediJones; Kahuna

“Not with that spread.”

How about a spread like this:

Casey 45% Smith 42%

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2934125/posts


24 posted on 09/24/2012 10:02:15 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: tina07

Thank You. :)


25 posted on 09/24/2012 10:03:34 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: FredZarguna

Casey Sr. stood up to the Democrat party on the pro-life issue, which certainly helped endear him to Catholics, whose ideal politician is a big-government taxer and spender with traditional moral values.


26 posted on 09/24/2012 10:05:47 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: JediJones

That was long after he was already an iconic figure in PA politics.


27 posted on 09/24/2012 10:10:26 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Spontaneous demonstrators with RPGs. Sure.)
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To: smoothsailing

I’d like it to be true, but when’s the last time Republicans swept in a presidential year? We have a decent history of doing it in off-years, when all the ignorant swing voters don’t show up and vote on their vague feelings of who they “like” better. But Toomey only won by 2 points. It’s hard to see how there isn’t enough increased turnout from Obamabots this year to make up for that on the D side. I can see more split-ticket Romney/Casey voters than I can see Obama/Smith voters.


28 posted on 09/24/2012 10:11:43 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: JediJones

A record of standing-up, which, by the way, Little Bobbie hasn’t upheld himself. I suspect his Dad is whirling like a lathe along with Dan Rooney at the support their kids have given to the Abortionist-in-Chief.


29 posted on 09/24/2012 10:16:41 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Spontaneous demonstrators with RPGs. Sure.)
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To: FredZarguna
The most publicized showdowns were, but he was running as staunchly pro-life before that, truthfully so, and thus fit that mold of the kind of candidate Pennsylvania Catholic voters like.

Looking at Wikipedia, he introduced a government program for uninsured children, which then took off nationwide as SCHIP.

Also, when he won his 2nd term, Polling data showed that abortion attitudes were a stronger predictor of vote choice than party affiliation.[6]. He put in place a law with abortion restrictions like parental notification, was sued by Planned Parenthood and won on most of the law in the Supreme Court. Then the big abortion showdown with the DNC in 1992 is what people probably know about him on the national level.

30 posted on 09/24/2012 10:22:38 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: JediJones
I can see more split-ticket Romney/Casey voters than I can see Obama/Smith voters.

I think that's a given. And it suggests the likelihood of a Romney win in Pennsylvania and a Smith/Casey squeaker that could go either way.

Imagine how huge that is. First time since 1988 that the Republican Presidential candidate delivers Pennsylvania! And from there the wave rolls west!

31 posted on 09/24/2012 10:37:05 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

This is good news. Time to get cracking for Tom.


32 posted on 09/25/2012 12:08:25 AM PDT by Eagles6 (DNC 2012 Convention: Celebrating infanticide and sodomy. Denying God.What could possibly go wrong?)
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To: smoothsailing

I’ve seen nothing but Smith signs around here. Not one single Casey sign.


33 posted on 09/25/2012 3:01:34 AM PDT by sneakers (Go Sheriff Joe!)
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To: fatima; xsmommy; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; ...

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!


34 posted on 09/25/2012 5:39:13 AM PDT by randita
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To: smoothsailing

Rasmussen. Over-sampled dems. Smith is a LOT closer than many people realize it.


35 posted on 09/25/2012 6:25:54 AM PDT by carriage_hill (Libs, dems, unions, leftist scum & murderous muzzies - are like bacteria: attack, attack, attack!)
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To: smoothsailing

Casey, along with McCaskill and other idiots helped launch the commie. This should be reason enough to vote him out.


36 posted on 09/25/2012 6:32:10 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: Emperor Palpatine
Casey has the magic last name in PA.

He's running on his old man's name, pure and simple. SAme with the Allegheny County prosecutor, Zappala, his old man is a judge so that how he got his job. I try not to believe the polls and hope they are wrong but we have the "X" factor in the equation where we still have those "dumb clucks" out there that would vote for Obama and the Democrates. The "X" is an unknown number where it could go out way, or theirs.
37 posted on 09/25/2012 8:40:03 AM PDT by Nowhere Man (June 28th, 2012, the Day America Jumped The Shark.)
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To: smoothsailing

I am feeling more positive about this one. Casey not breaking 50% is good news. Things in South Central PA have been very quiet campaign wise. It doesn’t seem like Smith or Casey are spending money here, but that is typical for Senate races. There will be a push in the two weeks preceding the election. If Smith moves over 46% by then, he will be in striking distance and it will be a matter of voter turn out.


38 posted on 09/25/2012 9:37:53 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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