Skip to comments.Elction 2012:Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 49%, Smith (R) 42% (Rasmussen)
Posted on 09/24/2012 8:56:02 PM PDT by smoothsailing
Sunday, September 23, 2012
Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, Jr. still holds the lead in Pennsylvanias U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters finds Casey with 49% support to 42% for his Republican challenger Tom Smith. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 19, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Holy smoke, the whole country is ga-ga over Democrats. They’re going to run away with every contested election, looks like.
I’m getting sick and tired of all the recent polls with the R trailing. Just damn...
Casey has the magic last name in PA.
Just like the names Saxbe, Celebreeze, and Taft are magic in Ohio next door.
I’m in Pennsylvania and will vote for TOM SMITH!!!!!!!
Yeah, everybody wants to be a Communist these days. With fearless leaders like Obama, Reid, Pelosi, and Wasserman-Schultz, is it any wonder?
Incumbent under 50%...winner will be Smith.
Same here, tina! I think Smith has a real good chance.
good grief, what the heck is going on!
Romney is going to take everyone down with him!
That’s the way I see it too.
This was looking like a 20 point blowout before. 49% is still too close to 50%, but the trend is in the right direction.
What are you talking about? This PA race was never even on the radar as being winnable or even competitive and Casey was expected to run away with it 20+ points. The trend indicates things going in Smith’s direction if this is accurate.
Not with that spread. Proponents of that theory like Morris say the undecided breaks 75-80% for the challenger. That leaves enough to put Casey over the top.
Casey has not only the magic last name, but the magic first name. His dad Bob Casey was a beloved governor, as beloved here as Ronald Reagan was or as the Kennedys are in Mass. It'll be easier for Romney to win PA than it will be for Casey to lose.
This is the kind of Senate seat you'll pick up only in a national landslide 40+ state sweep for Romney. Even in 2010's Tea Party sweep, Toomey only won by 2 points, and he wasn't running against a golden boy favorite son like Casey.
It’s the damage being done to these Senate races that bothers me most about this election. There are no coat tails at the top of the ticket. None.
I hope so. I’m tired of living in democrat states, first NJ (birth to 2007) and now here. Have to join Glenn Beck in Texas soon!!
Big Bob and Little Bobbie are cut from the same cloth. They were both do-nothing, borderline dull/normals, who were amiable empty suits. Does anyone remember anything either of them ever accomplished? Seriously. I'll take anything.
Little Bobbie has a magic name in PA and was expected to win by 20-25 points. Tom Smith is a complete unknown. These are actually very strong numbers.
Because Tom Hoefling has such HUGE coattails he'd sweep them all in? LOL
Thank you for your service to your country, God Bless you!
(my son-in-law is full time Army, one tour in Iraq 2009-2010, just got word he’s getting deployed next fall to either Afghanistan, Kuwait or the Horn of Africa, not happy here)
Nonsense, this is a Republican wave year shaping up, just like 2010. This PA election is a perfect example. Casey was running away with this, but now he’s not and he’s spending a ton on ads statewide.
“Not with that spread.”
How about a spread like this:
Casey 45% Smith 42%
Thank You. :)
Casey Sr. stood up to the Democrat party on the pro-life issue, which certainly helped endear him to Catholics, whose ideal politician is a big-government taxer and spender with traditional moral values.
That was long after he was already an iconic figure in PA politics.
I’d like it to be true, but when’s the last time Republicans swept in a presidential year? We have a decent history of doing it in off-years, when all the ignorant swing voters don’t show up and vote on their vague feelings of who they “like” better. But Toomey only won by 2 points. It’s hard to see how there isn’t enough increased turnout from Obamabots this year to make up for that on the D side. I can see more split-ticket Romney/Casey voters than I can see Obama/Smith voters.
A record of standing-up, which, by the way, Little Bobbie hasn’t upheld himself. I suspect his Dad is whirling like a lathe along with Dan Rooney at the support their kids have given to the Abortionist-in-Chief.
Looking at Wikipedia, he introduced a government program for uninsured children, which then took off nationwide as SCHIP.
Also, when he won his 2nd term, Polling data showed that abortion attitudes were a stronger predictor of vote choice than party affiliation.. He put in place a law with abortion restrictions like parental notification, was sued by Planned Parenthood and won on most of the law in the Supreme Court. Then the big abortion showdown with the DNC in 1992 is what people probably know about him on the national level.
I think that's a given. And it suggests the likelihood of a Romney win in Pennsylvania and a Smith/Casey squeaker that could go either way.
Imagine how huge that is. First time since 1988 that the Republican Presidential candidate delivers Pennsylvania! And from there the wave rolls west!
This is good news. Time to get cracking for Tom.
I’ve seen nothing but Smith signs around here. Not one single Casey sign.
If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!
Rasmussen. Over-sampled dems. Smith is a LOT closer than many people realize it.
Casey, along with McCaskill and other idiots helped launch the commie. This should be reason enough to vote him out.
I am feeling more positive about this one. Casey not breaking 50% is good news. Things in South Central PA have been very quiet campaign wise. It doesn’t seem like Smith or Casey are spending money here, but that is typical for Senate races. There will be a push in the two weeks preceding the election. If Smith moves over 46% by then, he will be in striking distance and it will be a matter of voter turn out.