Clearly to win, a guy needs to break away and crack 50.
Until he does that the odds will favor the president no matter what day it is. Ras can’t seem to find Romney breaking away no matter the more accurate polling formula.
At 47%, and this close to the election, of the two candidates, the odds are it is usually the incumbent president who usually come up with the 3 lousy points.
We are being worked over about a win, deluded, if Romney isn’t going light a fire and continues to muzzle his only asset, Paul Ryan.
Historically, the undecided voters break for the challenger about 2:1.