McMahon and Akin are doing far better than I expected, but I still can't see either defeating the RAT incumbent on election day. If either one (or ideally, both) get elected, I'll be eating crow and have to apologize to their fan clubs here. Akin would actually be a fairly decent Senator. Won't expect much from McMahon, but she'd be better than a full-fledged RINO like Mike Castle.
>> Wisconsin, hey maybe Im nuts but like with North Dakota Im skeptical even though the latest Ras has her up 3 (and he had her up big a couple months ago, very queer). The muncher from Madison isnt gonna beat Tommy Thompson.
With Brown, hes been down in recent polls, (tied in Rasmussen). Ive figured on him to win but yes, its MA. Another rare race (like with Mia Love) where its helpful Romney is on the ballot, he will lose MA big but crack 40% and do better than anyone else would have.
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I think TT and Brown will ultimately prevail on Election Day, though it probably won't be the big margins we hoped for. TT would really have to screw up badly to lose to that commie, he's polling poorly now after a slew of negative ads but we still have a while until election day and I think he'll rebound in October. Massachusetts is extremely liberal, the number of people there who would vote RAT if Jesus himself was the GOP nominee is considerable (in fact, being Jesus would probably hurt his appeal with the number of RATs who hate all forms of Christianity) Still, RINO Brown still has charisma and there are enough Indy voters, even left-of-center people who will otherwise vote RAT but pull the lever for him.
>> Many recent polls to my surprise have the race in PA pretty close so that needs our attention. WA post has moved it to lean d. <<
I think the positive news with the current polls is that nobody expected us to have a shot at Penn. or Maine, but at appears we could "theoretically" win both at this stage if we play our cards right. Maine is pretty much the only Republican seat that was EXPECTED to go RAT, so if we keep it, we might need to only win 4 or so Senate races to have a majority. If Romney manages to win Penn. on election day, there's a good chance we could win the Senate seat as well. Problem will be massive RAT votes in Philly and Pittsburgh.
>> Indiana, Mourdock needs to get himself in gear. Surprising but again the democrat actually winning that seems beyond the pale. I agree the potus margin is important, Donnelly needs crossover votes from Lugar lovers. High undecided vote in most polls Ive seen, Id dont see those breaking D. <<
Another state where Mourdock SHOULD win easily, but has been lagging lately. I only think Donnelly would pull of an upset if he got Lugar to endorse and campaign for him, and Lugar's more of a squishy moderate instead of a vindictive liberal scum like Scozzafava or Chafee, so that won't happen.
>> Really disappointed in Mack. Nelson is the lamest, yet we cant seem to defeat this guy. <<
Can't say I didn't warn the "So what if Mack is an elitist jerk who spit in the face of conservatives, let's just sweep it under the rug cuz he's ELECTABLE against Nelson!" crowd. I'm guessing a 52% Nelson - 48% Mack result in November. Hope I'm wrong. We can't afford to let Obama win FL again, and having Mack at the top of the ticket doesn't help Romney. Pretty much the whole idea is people would vote for him because they fondly remember daddy. Doesn't seem to be happening.
Hmm, it’s rat biased Quinnipiac which I’ve been told is useless outside of the northeast (it has PA 49-43) but they have Nelson up huge 53-39. I think Romney wins the state but not by all that much, Mack can’t afford to be more than a 2-3 points behind him. He’s 5 points behind Romney according to Quinnipiac (which absurdly has Obama doing BETTER in Florida than he did in 2008, the sampling in these polls is ridiculous).
McMahon is an open seat. The difference this time, while Blumenthal had a scandal and it was a GOP year, he was the most popular SOB in the State so he was able to still easily win. Murphy is just a generic rat and McMahon’s campaign seems slicker this time in the encore race.