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I don't know what to make of this. Up until about 4 days ago, Gallup had the race tied. There was a sudden shift to Obama on either Sat or Sun which showed up first in the approval number. I thought it was a one day good sample for Obama but that day rolled off the three day rolling approval tracker today and his approval number actually went up....?
1 posted on 09/26/2012 10:12:48 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

1) Registered or Likely voters?

2) What’s the D/R/I sampling of this poll.

Without the above data, numbers are as good as useless.


2 posted on 09/26/2012 10:13:48 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: tatown

This is a RV poll.


3 posted on 09/26/2012 10:14:56 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: tatown

There is only one poll that counts. And it takes place in November. Just ask Jimmy Carter.


5 posted on 09/26/2012 10:17:26 AM PDT by ILS21R (The time is nigh.)
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To: tatown

Funny, I haven’t been polled once this year!


6 posted on 09/26/2012 10:17:53 AM PDT by blondee123 (Our country is headed for DICTATORSHIP! WAKE UP!)
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To: tatown

This is crap.


7 posted on 09/26/2012 10:18:20 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: tatown

Keep in mind that Gallup ranked near the bottom (I think 17th) in accuracy in 2008.(Rasmussen was most accurate)

I’ve quit looking at polls, or at least let it bother me when I do. It’ll drive you crazy.

If you’re feeling depressed, the remedy is to go back and look at polling data from 1980, or 1988, or 2010. Polls are never goign to predict a substantial Republican victory. They’re just simply too biased against it


11 posted on 09/26/2012 10:20:50 AM PDT by almcbean
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To: tatown

I think he’s having a self-created ‘bandwagon effect’ from the good poll reports in the media and it will collapse.


16 posted on 09/26/2012 10:25:39 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: tatown
The day after the elections: "The nation is stunned. Every poll in the country showed the President up by anywhere from 5 to 15 points, and yet Romney wins by 8??? The case for Republican voter fraud couldn't be more obvious...disenfranchisement of Democrat voters at record levels..."

You can see it coming...an obvious set-up.

18 posted on 09/26/2012 10:32:14 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: tatown

This is more absurd yet, this is the seven day moving average that had a one point difference yesterday or day before, That means basically Obama had to have about 61-39 day of polling, that is the biggest whopper of all the polling to date!


19 posted on 09/26/2012 10:33:11 AM PDT by shoedog
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To: tatown

Regardless if this poll and others are rigged to have Obama in the lead, this is NOT a good trend, I knew Obama would likely be reelected.


28 posted on 09/26/2012 10:54:04 AM PDT by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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To: tatown

I realize most of these polls are flawed, but seriously WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH PEOPLE IN THIS COUNTRY? We have a Marxist idiot in the WH destroying this country,and if (GOD forbid) he gets 4 more years I have no doubt he’ll finish the job, and the mere fact that he might get relected just makes me want to puke? Hence, my tagline.


32 posted on 09/26/2012 10:57:09 AM PDT by Marathoner (If the bastard were to win reelection, let America burn. IDGAF anymore.)
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To: tatown

Romney made the mistake by announcing he will fire Bernanke and consider studying making gold part of money. Wall Street bankers just freaked. They want Bernanke because he will keep bailing them out and any notion of a gold standard would destroy the flexible printing of money bankers have enjoyed. Romney is facing an MSM who is getting marching orders from Wall Street and bankers, skew the polls, Obama is a known quantity, Romney is a risk on their schemes and rice bowl. They rather risk Obama as POTUS then Romney and the silly notions of the Tea Party.


33 posted on 09/26/2012 10:57:20 AM PDT by Fee
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To: tatown

State run media’s fake poll numbers http://www.wnd.com/wnd_video/state-run-medias-fake-poll-numbers/


35 posted on 09/26/2012 11:03:45 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: tatown

And today’s Rasmussen poll shows the opposite, Romney Up, Obama down.

Same thing as happened last week for Rasmussen. 0bama had one really good polling day and it skewed the sample. Now the trend is back to where it was before the good Obama sample day.

This happens from time to time in daily polling. One candidate or the other has a really good day and it skews the sample. Need 4-5 days data to see if this is statistical noise or a new trend.


36 posted on 09/26/2012 11:07:23 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: tatown

These leftie polling organization have as much credibility as the mainstream media. They are incapable of dealing with facts and truth.


38 posted on 09/26/2012 11:09:21 AM PDT by cblue55 (The only truly hopeful future for America will be the defeat of Obama on November 6.)
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To: tatown

We will know much, much more after the first debate.

Mr. President: Why are you so likeable and such a nice guy?

Mr. Romney: How many people have you caused to die and why are you so evil?

The questions are going to be so favorable to Obama...

My take.


43 posted on 09/26/2012 11:19:45 AM PDT by montomike (Politics should be about service and not a lucrative, money-making opportunity!)
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To: tatown

What was the breakdown of this as far as Democrats and Republicans


48 posted on 09/26/2012 11:54:49 AM PDT by zt1053
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To: tatown
This is a very plausible explanation regarding polls.

Presidential Polls 2012: Skewed Polling and Biased Media Coverage Give Obama False Advantage http://townhall.com/columnists/johngiokaris/2012/09/26/presidential_polls_2012_skewed_polling_and_biased_media_coverage_give_obama_false_advantage_over_romney

53 posted on 09/26/2012 12:35:27 PM PDT by VideoDoctor
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To: tatown

When Soros’ Spanish vote-counting company gets done counting the final votes, this number will be confirmed...


55 posted on 09/26/2012 12:48:48 PM PDT by Gritty (The Obama agenda has failed not because it was stopped, but because it was passed! - Paul Ryan)
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To: tatown

Maybe someone else posted this, too, but I went back and looked at Gallup’s numbers for the same week in 2008. I’d say this is not a good sign.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110737/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Holds-5Point-Lead.aspx?version=print


57 posted on 09/26/2012 1:09:32 PM PDT by LittleSpotBlog
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