But let’s all PLEASE remember that in 08, at least in OH, large numbers (10% of our deepest red precincts) of Rs voted for Obama.
In all of my assumptions this time-—and I could be wrong-—NO R will vote for Obama and no D will vote for Romney. Those who do will cancel.
Polls I have seen indicate maybe 10 percent of Dems voting Romney and about 10 percent of (probably moderate GOP women) voting Obama, so while they will vote, they will also cancel each other out like you see. I don’t see any poll yet that indicates more than 10 percent or so voting for the other side.
Some show less as well., but it always so far at least has been pretty even.
I am concerned the Dems might catch up later during absentees and early voting, but I think we have a very good advantage here that will not allow them to catch up too much.