....so what does this poll say for today?
Thanks for posting this article! Also, a but off topic but let’s not forget what Hillary Clinton said back in 2008
“Fox News has been the most fair news network during the 2008 election”
Under the most favorable conditions, there’s no way Obama duplicates his results from 2008. Among several things, (1) the white-guilt thing won’t work this time, (2) his record has been awful and (3) unless there’s been a noticeable change for the better (and there hasn’t been one), many voters simply get tired of whoever’s in the White House and seek change. The best I see Obama doing is a statistical tie. My prediction is that Romney, despite running a terrible campaign, will win by 1 to 2 million votes.
I’m going to throw out my theory on Rasmussen and see if anyone thinks it’s plausible.
Rasmussen is the most accurate, but they’re hedging their bets. Since all other polls are heavily overpolling Democrats, if they do it a little, they can cover themselves in case Obama does win.
If they says it’s a tossup, if Romney wins they’re still closest, so they retain bragging right.
Think of it this way...if three people are told to guess a number between 1 and 10, and the first two pick 2 and 3, even if you’re pretty sure the number is 8, you’d pick 4, right?
You can tell me if you think I’m full of it. I can take it.
I think it would be SOOO funny if 0 wins the popular vote and Romney pulls of an electoral win.
2008 is ancient history.
Oh, by the way, I recall there being an election in 2010, and none of the models I’ve read about seem to be taking any notice of those turn-out numbers.
Romney shouldn’t be this goddamn close to Obama in the polls! He should be way ahead. If this moron can’t convince Americans to vote for him this late in the game, then I say that Romney is a patsy. Picked by someone to lose so that Obummer stays in the WH.