[CatherineofAragon]

On my local early morning news, there was a segment which claimed Obama has almost all the electoral numbers he needs, while Romney is far off the mark. It’s an ABC affiliate, and the story was a national one they linked to, so I have a healthy degree of skepticism. However, I wonder if someone better informed than I could speak to the issue.

[LS]

I'll just remind everyone that in 2004, as late as mid-day on election day they were all claiming based on "exit polls" that Kerry had won. It was all over Drudge. And I had to come on FR and calm everyone down---based on "poll flushing" I had done in a crucial precinct of a crucial county in the crucial state of OH---and knew Bush had won.

In the late summer of 1864, Abraham Lincoln was so convinced he wasn't even going to get his party's nomination that he named a Democrat as vice president. Yet within a few months, he was so far ahead that his opponent basically dropped out.

So ABC should be ashamed of itself, esp if you follow our data thread here on OH early voting. No evidence whatsoever that Obama can take OH. That might change, it can change, but SO FAR it hasn't.