Posted on 09/29/2012 6:43:32 AM PDT by tatown
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
All of the hand wringing on here is depressing.....
All is lost! Woe is me! Mitt is toast! Might as well shut down FR now and we can all just huddle in our bomb shelters, not to come out until the election is over.
I don’t know anything about Casey Jr’s opponent in PA. Other than his name is Tom Smith (and I READ that he has tea party ties). Since I never saw this race flagged by the GOP, I’m guessing they think it’s hopeless.
The GOP is all in for George Allen in VA. I have seen him appear with Romney and Ryan.
Wisconsin is a bit muddled. There you have Tommy Thompson who is WI famous, against a radical liberal from the US House, Tammy Baldwin. It’s a no-brainer as far as who would be a disaster, but Thompson is not tea party and often says things the tea party would not support. So how that cuts in terms of campaigning for him I don’t know.
But let me say this...Tommy Thompson is THE single most famous Wisconsinite in his home state, and it would look peculiar if the GOP thought it had to campaign with Tommy Thompson in order to beat back a radical lib from a single radical lib district in that state.
I think they believe there’s no hope for Bill Nelson’s opponent in FL, or very little, Connie Mack JR. Or, it could be they think if the famous name of Connie Mack in FL can’t stand on its own, the name of Romney or Ryan campaigning with him won’t cut it, either.
In MO, you have the GOP establishment ostracizing Todd Akin ever since his “legitimate rape” remark. They swear they will not support him, that he’s on his own. Newt Gingrich has announced support as has Jim DeMint, so we’ll see if that helps.
I read where a poll showed the Republican in MT with a small lead over Tester, the incumbent.
But would Romney or Ryan help a Montanan beat another Montanan if that candidate couldn’t do it by himself? Westerners tend to be very independent vs outsiders.
I saw something about ND being surprisingly close, like toss-up, when previously it was thought to be a sure gain. But again, how would an outsider campaigning there help. Outsiders with big names help in some types of places, but not so much in some others.
Many need to stop over-analyzing. This is not a major difference from the Ras polls from the past 3 days. Allowing daily fluctuations of 1-2 points rule your mood and heart rate will send you to the grave before Nov 6. Simply put, the media will not allow Romney to generate any polling momentum. It is their primary mission, and they have multiple plays in their play book to accomplish it. So gird yourself for 37 more days of polling angst.
Very true.
LLS
What basis do you have that Casey Jr will be defeated in PA and that Nelson will lose in FL?
Why is Mitt in PA if all is lost???
LLS
He needs to go bold and do things that are so audacious and different that the media would have no choice but to cover it.
for example -
1. Newts idea of following obama everywhere - even w Ryan doing it and pointing out every obama failure.
2. Holding huge rally’s right in famous places or outside of obama fundraisers w the hollywood crowd.
3. Hold huge rallies or show up like Schott Brown did as big sports events.
GO BOLD AND BE DIFFERENT!
LLS
Romney needs some short repeatable memes. For instance, he could start saying he will get rid of all the “czars” and their bloated staffs on day one and immediately save “X” amount of dollars. This is something he could do without any delay or cooperation from anybody else, it should not be controversial, (got along without ‘em before we met ‘em, gonna get along without ‘em now), and allows a subtle stab at the Socialist/Communist sense because of the word Czar being associated with Russa in general.It is a meaningful gesture in many ways.There must be other things like this he could toss out there.
According to American Life Panel, the last few days shows more people shifting support from Obama to Romney than vice versa.
Reagan was NOT down 12 in mid-October.
The issue is not day to day movement it’s the fact that only a couple of weeks ago Ras had Obama stuck in the 43% to 45% range. Going into Election Day that would be a no brainer win for R&R. If on the other hand he’s truly now in a range of 46% to 48% I, along with others I’m sure, am not resting quite so easy. Still a long way to go with the debates on the horizon that change the dynamics substantially. Bottom line is that it ain’t over by a long shot but I’d feel better if Obama’s support were about 3 points lower.
Who?
Obama lies like a rug - and the crowd cheers and the media reports it verbatim. Obama can and does say anything - no matter how ridiculous - and the crowds cheer.
And when that isn’t enough they edit to create lies and then report it and when people catch them at this it’s only reported on already conservative sites.
I heard an Obama supporter on the radio the other day who said “the debt is the debt” and it was no big deal to him. Well, IF he even understands the dire consequences of the debt maybe he thinks he won’t be one of the ones paying it off. The protected class - the 47%.
47.9 + 45.6 + 2.9 + 3.6 = 100.0
The ONLY energy anywhere near Mitt Romney, ever, were his primary opponents, and now PAUL RYAN with a brain.
He has Ryan muzzled now, after dropping way too soon their great joint rallies early on, where we were having some fun and taking names.
What happened to “carpet bombing ads” and Paul Ryan dogging barack’s every appearance in every state, and the mountains of money.
Demographically the country is changing beneath you. Most producers won't see it till its too late. There are far more bottom feeders and non producers now. For every normal, productive person that swings away from Obama, there is 1.1+ young minorities who don't work and love what Hussein is selling (freebies).
My guess is we crossed the point of no return last election cycle. We may have a chance this time out, but I have my doubts. The mystery of the "skewed" polls resolves itself when you think about what I said about demographics. More white people than ever (particularly white men) will be voting for the Republican ticket - and it still won't be enough. We've basically already lost the country.
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