Ras is using a D+2.5 sample. Which is fair. Hey, if it is a R+2 turnout, we win big. Even with an D+2 turnout, historically we win.
When “leaners” are factored in, the president leads Romney 48% to 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
9-28-12
Factor this in with the big lead Romney has with indys and it is Romneys to lose.