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Las Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts Obama Will Have a Landslide Loss
Lubbock Avalanche Journal ^ | Sunday, September 30, 2012 | Blogs / Mr. Conservative

Posted on 09/30/2012 6:28:14 AM PDT by F15Eagle

Las Vegas Oddsmaker Wayne Allyn Root predicted that Barack Obama will suffer a massive loss in the General Election even though the current polls do not show Obama necessarily losing. Root stated,

Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It's Reagan-Carter all over again.

Root laid out the rationale for his prediction. He does have a history of successful political predictions.

Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.

But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory.

~~~~

First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense.

(Excerpt) Read more at lubbockonline.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; landslide; obama; obamasux; predictions; romney
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Maybe something similar from way back but did exact title search.

Oh well ....

1 posted on 09/30/2012 6:28:19 AM PDT by F15Eagle
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To: F15Eagle

“Landslide”, Tsunami, Crash, whatever. Obama’s reelection would be a catastrophe, so I say turnabout is fair play.


2 posted on 09/30/2012 6:31:07 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: P.O.E.

I think it will be a terrible loss for Obama, minimal 320 electoral districts for Romney.

Hopefully it will be larger.


3 posted on 09/30/2012 6:33:58 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: F15Eagle

The unknown X factor that makes everyone nervous in this election is the stupidity of the American voter.

There are a whole bunch of people wanting their free phone from Obama.


4 posted on 09/30/2012 6:36:09 AM PDT by lurk
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To: F15Eagle

Logic says nobody who voted for McCain will vote for bambi. Personal experience says, many who voted for Obama will not do it again, and they will either not vote for prez, or vote for Romney. Throw in the certain enthusiasm gap between GOP and Dems and voila, we have a landslide for Romney. This is not rocket science.


5 posted on 09/30/2012 6:36:31 AM PDT by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: F15Eagle

The trouble is that the polls are so pervasive and so desperately trying to prop up o-Zero, that the news will hit hard come Nov. 7.

Blacks (the 96%, anyway) and militant butt-kissers will be ripe for turmoil; somebody will point to the polls before and the results after and claim they wuz robbed, and hell might break loose.


6 posted on 09/30/2012 6:39:06 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: Cen-Tejas

After your comment on this I went looking for an article


7 posted on 09/30/2012 6:39:29 AM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: F15Eagle

Forget Vegas and other mystics, it will all come down to the debates. The three 2012 Presidential debates will effect the future of America the way the three day Battle of Gettysburg did.


8 posted on 09/30/2012 6:40:21 AM PDT by allendale
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To: lurk

Yes, after the bad economy, high gas prices, teleprompter-in-chief, golf-n-vacation Bammy and total ineptness of this _resident, one would have to be stupid to vote for Obama.

And you’re correct, there are people dumb enough to do it again. I’ve met some of them. It’s astounding.


9 posted on 09/30/2012 6:41:50 AM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: F15Eagle
This GOOD but VERY OLD NEWS...this article was published on June 22, 2012.

Still applicable today, WE ALL HOPE!!

10 posted on 09/30/2012 6:44:07 AM PDT by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: All
Now this did just got posted but it's using a lot of the June article's data...
11 posted on 09/30/2012 6:49:26 AM PDT by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: harpu

Yeah I saw there were two dates on the link


12 posted on 09/30/2012 6:51:23 AM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: F15Eagle

Don’t forget what they say about the counting of chickens.


13 posted on 09/30/2012 6:52:31 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: lurk

Election 2012:

Productive People vs. The Freeloaders

... THAT is the real story that Big Media is missing!


14 posted on 09/30/2012 6:54:35 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: F15Eagle

Well, you have to remember that some people did vote for Carter the 2nd time, and for Mondale in 1984.

Some people will just do stupid stuff.


15 posted on 09/30/2012 6:56:53 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: DuncanWaring

Yeah I know - just so sick of the MSM and Hollywood Astroturfing for Bammy all the time, 24/7.


16 posted on 09/30/2012 6:59:32 AM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: lurk
The unknown X factor that makes everyone nervous in this election is the stupidity of the American voter.

While I agree, the unknown Y factor is the TEA party. No one knows just how fired up we are. Like some FReeper posted, we're practicing crawling on glass, preparing for November. I seriously doubt ANY pollster is properly accounting for that.

17 posted on 09/30/2012 7:00:43 AM PDT by Big Giant Head
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To: lurk
There are a whole bunch of people wanting their free phone from Obama.

But there are a greater number who are sick and tired of having to work harder pay for free cell phones for lazy moochers.

18 posted on 09/30/2012 7:02:57 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: F15Eagle

Is there a link or info this guy has posted where a person so inclined to could actually bet a few bucks on this..having an opinion and actually taking bets is two different things.


19 posted on 09/30/2012 7:08:54 AM PDT by montanajoe (Blame Flame Shame or Beg I won't vote for R/R)
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To: F15Eagle

I’m predicting Romney by 10 points, 45 states. Any takers?


20 posted on 09/30/2012 7:10:26 AM PDT by Gettin Betta
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To: allendale
I think a lot of people, even some FReepers would like to see Obama win just to see the American equivalent of the re-emergence of the Mahdi - is the Obama the 12 Imam (?) that destroyer of worlds. Kind of like the same people who go to the Indianapolis 500 hoping to see somebody get killed in a fiery wreck.

I see this election as a replay of the 2010 midterms - plus a little bit more.

21 posted on 09/30/2012 7:11:48 AM PDT by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever.u)
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To: F15Eagle

My current soapbox is this. If you read/believe the polls you would conclude that there are millions of “undecided voters” who one week decide they’re supporting candidate A and then the next week they’ve switched their support to candidate B and so on. (If this were not true the numbers wouldn’t move from poll to poll).

Yet I have yet to meet ANYONE fitting this description. Repubs or RATs, Conservatives or Libtards, I meet/see them all.

But the purported squishy independents? They’re like Bigfoot to me - many people believe that they exist and some people claim to have seen them - but I never have.

My $.02.


22 posted on 09/30/2012 7:12:49 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: F15Eagle

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory.
*********
One thing that amazes me is the widespread criticism, distrust and animosity toward Obama that you see in reader comments that are posted below a wide variety of articles. And there are always a lot of them, even on sites that are not conservative oriented. This may be anecdotal evidence, but it points to a lot of disapproval, frustration and downright anger out there.


23 posted on 09/30/2012 7:13:20 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: F15Eagle

That’s Racist


24 posted on 09/30/2012 7:17:40 AM PDT by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: HerrBlucher

25 posted on 09/30/2012 7:17:51 AM PDT by diverteach (If I find liberals in heaven after my death.....I WILL BE PISSED!!!)
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To: F15Eagle

Even if this is true, we also need to get more Conservatives into Congress. I’m under no illusions about Romney being a Conservative, and we’ll need a Conservative Congress that will hopefully keep him focused on the economy.


26 posted on 09/30/2012 7:18:23 AM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Ho, ho, hey, hey, I'm BUYcotting Chick-Fil-A)
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To: Izzy Dunne
" Blacks (the 96%, anyway) and militant butt-kissers will be ripe for turmoil; somebody will point to the polls before and the results after and claim they wuz robbed, and hell might break loose. "

Yes, he's already laying the groundwork for it. "Can't change Washington from the inside", you know.

27 posted on 09/30/2012 7:21:22 AM PDT by OKSooner
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To: F15Eagle
He does have a history of successful political predictions.

What's his record over the last 4 or 5 presidential elections?

28 posted on 09/30/2012 7:21:55 AM PDT by Delhi Rebels (There was a row in Silver Street - the regiments was out.)
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To: allendale
Forget Vegas and other mystics, it will all come down to the debates.

Unfortunately people will watch these debates and base their decision on a stutter or word out of context instead of the content.

A debate should be about substance not who has the silver tongue.

29 posted on 09/30/2012 7:24:22 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal The 16th Amendment!)
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To: F15Eagle
Where do I legally buy those odds? “The sheeple think Obozo will win? Give me $100 at ten to one.”
30 posted on 09/30/2012 7:24:41 AM PDT by nomad
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To: 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten

millions of “undecided voters”
*********
Good post. Maybe the undecideds are simply people who don’t have a clue about anything. Unfortunately there are lots of them in this dumbed down country as many people don’t have even the most basic knowledge of civics like who the VP is or how many branches of government there are. And don’t even think of asking them where Afghanistan or Iraq is.


31 posted on 09/30/2012 7:25:12 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: MrDem
But there are a greater number who are sick and tired of having to work harder pay for free cell phones for lazy moochers.

The Major Problem is kicking out the corrupt politicians who vote for these programs and always increase funding. It's gotten so big that all these cell phone companies now have boat-loads of cash to pay off these corrupt Prx.

32 posted on 09/30/2012 7:25:46 AM PDT by radioone ( Main Stream Media. The Government built that.)
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To: F15Eagle

bttt


33 posted on 09/30/2012 7:26:00 AM PDT by TEXOKIE (Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could do only a little. EdmondBurke)
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To: Starboard

We believe in the existence of these undecideds because we’ve been told they exist. In spite of not meeting them personally. I’m sorry but I just have a hard time buying it.

Stupid people? Certainly. Meet ‘em all the time. Their existence is indisputable.

Squishy undecideds who would cheer for the Red Sox one week and the Yankees the next?

Sorry, can’t buy it.


34 posted on 09/30/2012 7:31:27 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: TwelveOfTwenty

I’m under no illusions about Romney being a Conservative
*******
I’m with you there. But we are where we are, and job number one is removing Obama from office. If Mitt can pull that off, he saves us from an unthikable catastrophe so I’m willing to give him some time to right the ship economically and then hopefully implement a few conservative policies. Realistically, that’s probably the best we can expect. And you’re right, more conservatives in congress would be a tremendous help and that’s why I’m donating to my local conservative senate candidate even though I live in a blue state.


35 posted on 09/30/2012 7:37:13 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: allendale

Gettysburg was won by the North because Stonewall Jackson was killed in a freak shooting accident a few weeks before.


36 posted on 09/30/2012 7:40:46 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: lurk

“There are a whole bunch of people wanting their free phone from Obama.”

...they already got thier phone, so now they’ll sleep in. Black pastors around the country have instructed thier “flocks” to not vote O because of his gay BS.


37 posted on 09/30/2012 7:45:38 AM PDT by albie
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To: 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten

“Squishy undecideds who would cheer for the Red Sox one week and the Yankees the next? Sorry, can’t buy it.”
*******
Happens all the time. Haven’t you heard of the well known psychological ‘bandwagon effect’ wherein the probability of an individual supporting something increases with the proportion of those who have already done so? Advertising uses this technique all the time to great effect to get people to switch product loyalties.


38 posted on 09/30/2012 7:54:49 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: F15Eagle

I spoke to my Cousin yesterday, He is a Die Hard Democrat.

It ws like talking to a Zombie or someone who has slept for the last 4 years.

Still excusing the unexcusable. No hope for him.

He will vote for Obama. Many will,but hopefully we can get rid of Obama, AND the Democrats in the Congress who are also Zombies.


39 posted on 09/30/2012 7:58:01 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: NKP_Vet
I agree on your assessment about Jackson being lost prior to the battle. Didn't help that A.S. Johnston died at Shiloh the year before, and J.E.B. Stuart's Cavalry was nowhere to be found prior to the battle.

I would say that it was a perfect 3 point storm of tactical disaster for the Confederacy on those two additional counts as well.

40 posted on 09/30/2012 7:58:58 AM PDT by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them)
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To: Venturer
Yes, my girlfriend's roomie is the same.

She is a total Obamanista psychopath, with no logic or reasoning skills whatsoever.

41 posted on 09/30/2012 8:00:35 AM PDT by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them)
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To: F15Eagle

Anybody know where I can place one of these bets online?


42 posted on 09/30/2012 8:05:32 AM PDT by FreeManWhoCan ( (o) (o))
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To: Gettin Betta

I’ve been saying for a LONG time Romney would win 55%/45%—
just based on instinct, common sense and experience.In other
words, I think, in the GMTA sense, you predictions are accurate. Interestingly, the polling data, skewed as it is,
will still be conveyed the way it is now, pretty much right up to election day. THIS will feed the idea , seized on by Team Obama, that voter fraud is going on from the right, as the election results start to roll in, showing a clear, and
growing Romney lead, and inevitable victory, in the election.
I noticed this in a few elections past, and it will happen again.


43 posted on 09/30/2012 8:06:15 AM PDT by supremedoctrine
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To: Starboard

Doesn’t happen in the Red Sox/Yankees analogy. At least not in my world. I think politics in the US these days is a lot like Red Sox/Yankees. Or Michigan/Ohio State. Or Auburn/Alabama. Take your pick.


44 posted on 09/30/2012 8:08:37 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: allendale
Let's face it. The headlines the day after the debate will be one of 3. The most likely is Romney scored better but did not land a knockout punch therefor Romney lost. 2. Romney clearly won but came across as mean when he pointed out Obamas incompetence therefor Romney lost. 3. Romney according to the elite media did not do as well As this very likable president therefor Romney lost.
45 posted on 09/30/2012 8:10:08 AM PDT by JIM O
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To: F15Eagle

Oh, great. Now we’re searching out wisdom from the gambling industry. Not the Bible, not wise elders or leaders. But from crooks in the gambling industry.


46 posted on 09/30/2012 8:11:05 AM PDT by righttackle44 (I may not be much, but I raised a United States Marine.)
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To: lurk; F15Eagle
The unknown X factor that makes everyone nervous in this election is the stupidity of the American voter.

I think the unknown X factor is how well the Dems have honed their vote counting and manufacturing techniques.

Many remain duped by the Kenyan, but many others are sufficiently revolted and angry that they are voting ABO.

Thus, extra obamavotes are going to have to fly out of the Abyss like smoke from a furnace.

47 posted on 09/30/2012 8:11:24 AM PDT by Ezekiel (The Obama-nation began with the Inauguration of Desolation.)
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To: F15Eagle
intrade has the boy at 70%...
48 posted on 09/30/2012 8:15:15 AM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: F15Eagle

From 2008:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/swingers/2008/10/will_obama_crap_out.2.html


Wayne Allyn Root the oddsmaker pegs McCain as a 13-to-12 favorite in Nevada, though he does give the Libertarian ticket a “less than 50-50” shot of becoming a Ross Perot-like spoiler. If Obama wins the state, he says, “it will be because Bob Barr and I got between 6 and 10 percent.” Root’s future plans: “In 2012, I expect to be the [Libertarian] nominee. ... With my personality, which is bigger than life, I will attract five to 10 million votes in a Ross Perot-like number. And then in 2016, I will be a credible candidate for president of the United States. And in 2020, I’ll win it.” He also plans to continue picking NFL winners, which could perhaps lead to the happy outcome of the Super Bowl becoming a national day of rest.


49 posted on 09/30/2012 8:22:54 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: lurk

The unknown X factor that makes everyone nervous in this election is the stupidity of the American voter ... there are a whole bunch of people wanting their free phone from Obama.

50 posted on 09/30/2012 8:24:38 AM PDT by Zakeet (Calling the Obozo/Bernack economy sluggish is an insult to slugs)
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