Posted on 10/03/2012 7:15:08 AM PDT by Ravi
Good soil. :-)
MSNBC was LEADING with Romney rumored to be pulling out of Ohio.
Talk about goebling the mind of the voter.
Why in the world do we allow early voting? Allowing people to vote almost a month prior to election day is crazziness. So much can happen in a month. Sorry, but I liked it better in the old days. We voted on election day... period.
My concern with The Left is more about the "Late Voting", where car trunks and truckloads of "Found Ballots" show up, whenever the (R) is winning, or it's too close to call.
How many more Elections will be stolen in this way, ESPECIALLY in Swing States?
please continue the posts, i enjoy them.
What is the latest update in OH?
The polls there look so terrible, but I know most of them are waaaaaaay overweighted with Dems and waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay underweighted with Reps in their samples.
Click on the red words in my post # 14 to see.....
Keep up the good work!
amazing. instead of a thank you and an oh by the way the link’s not working that’s what you come up with? Learn how to post?
Learn how to be gracious and not rude.
For embedding links in your posting, this is a really simple format to use:
<a href=http://www.example.com/>http://www.example.com/</a>
The first full URL is the link to the whatever you are embedding. You can put whatever you want where the second URL is. I usually just put the full URL there so that people know where it is pointing.
They can just click on the link, and don't have to copy/paste.
I’ll just give you one county as an eg. Cuyahoga. Outvoted by 260,000 in 08. 460,000 to 200,000. Currently at about a 57,000 spread in ballot requests (Dems have requested 98,807 ballots, repubs 42,232 ballots) thus far. The spread was 85,000 in 2008 just for absentee ballots. If this ratio is repeated across counties in OH, then you can add up the numbers and kinda figure where we might end up. For Cuyahoga, I think the final difference between Obama and Romney will be in the 150,000 range (based on my turnout assumptions, indies splitting, all dems obama and all repubs romney) whereas it was 260,000 in 08. If that is 110,000 less vote margin for Obama from Cuyahoga, then rest of the state should be able to make that up. Margin for McCain and Obama was about 260,000 overall for the whole state. It would only take 75,000 voters to change their minds and we see that happening on the spreadsheet every day.
Some idiot on CNBC this morning suggested that Mitt had a week to figure if he should reallocate advertising dollars away from Ohio.
Thanks checked it out.
Bad news: More Dems participating in early voting than Reps.
Good news: The difference between the two parties seems MUCH closer than it was in 2008.
What is your read on these numbers?
Thanks so much. Deeply appreciate it. So Dem turnout so far appears to be down from four years ago in their urban strongholds.
I am from Cleveland originally. The Dems usually pile up a huge a margin in Cuyahoga and some of the surrounding counties including Lorain and Summit. GOP has to make up for this with a huge turnout downstate and in the rural areas. Columbus used to be Republican, now Democrat in most elections.
Yep, that’s the short version.
We know there’s an enthusiasm gap. Anecdotally we know of people who will stay home who are disillusioned with Hopeychange.
Question to the crystal ballers: Do we really have a good handle on the Republican apathy segment?
When we are on the most rightwing site which is run by a gentleman who threatened to zot anyone who actively campaigned for the GOP candidate, shouldn’t we assume that the “sit home and teach the GOPe a lesson” faction is even more vehement than those disillusioned by unicorns and skittles?
Not me. Don’t know anyone else around me who feels that way either.
Please continue to post these updates. The lamestream media is trying to get us all “depressed” and these updates keep my spirits high!
Even if they weren’t uplifting, I’d still rather KNOW the truth.
I don’t watch any news anymore, including Fox. I get all my info here at FR and my radio talk shows (which of course plays the lamestream media talking points....irks the heck out of me)!
Ok. So you're predicting some large fraction of turnout less for Dems and 100% for R's?
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