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To: nathanbedford
Nate, I disagree with the premise that Romney was "losing." This was purely a massive propaganda effort by the Drive-Bys and pollsters, yet if you've been following our OH absentee/early voting threads, you know that ALL the pollsters' turnout numbers are wrong and that what we are seeing in OH is. Convincing Romney win SO FAR.

I was traveling during the debate but picked up the Twitter thread at the e ginning and it was clear this was a drubbing of the highest order, so you're right about hat.

36 posted on 10/04/2012 5:18:48 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
My pessimism before the debate was grounded almost entirely on the negative polling that was coming out Rasmussen. He had Romney behind in the swing states even though Rasmussen should be of all the posters the one most likely to compensate for the tendency to oversample Democrats.

If Rasmussen has Romney behind in the swing states and since Romney had to fill an inside straight among the swing states in order to get to 270, then the odds were lengthening as it appeared that more of the swing states were falling away and out of reach.

I had almost completely discounted all the other polls for over counting Democrats except to use them as trend lines.


40 posted on 10/04/2012 6:05:38 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: LS

a drubbing of the highest order”

Nicely articulated, sir.


44 posted on 10/04/2012 6:31:04 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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