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Will Forecast of Rising Gas Price Affect Presidential Race?
Townhall.com ^ | October 6, 2012 | Elisabeth Meinecke

Posted on 10/06/2012 5:35:18 PM PDT by Kaslin

The Drudge Report is cheekily labeling an article about the outrageous gas prices and gas shortage in Southern California the "October Surprise." While it's unlikely even $4-$5 (and up) a gallon gas prices will turn Californians into Romney fans, CNBC is reporting that gas prices are likely to keep rising in October:

"It will only take another refinery issue and a bit more of geopolitical noise to have the first U.S. election at a US average gasoline price of $4 a gallon," says energy analyst Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix

Also contributing to the problem in California were issues at different refineries.

In general, however, CNBC cautions that the prices are easily affected:

"Gasoline futures prices dropped 30 cents after the expiration of the previous month's contract, reflecting the seasonal shift among many refiners from summer-grade gasoline to a cheaper winter-blend.On Wednesday morning, the EIA reported a sharp drop in gasoline demand versus a year ago — leading futures to fall to the low of the week. But prices quickly recovered after the fire at the Exxon Baytown refinery."

Gas prices and energy production often make cameo appearances at the top of the news cycle, but it's rarely sustained long enough to have any effective change brought about.  Interestingly, Rasmussen Reports shows that likely U.S. voters favor Obama on energy policy:

"Obama’s widest lead is in the area of energy policy. Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters trust him more in this area, while 42% have more confidence in Romney. The candidates were tied in this area late last month."

It might not hurt Romney to get out and talk a little more about the pain at the pump. Since voters still trust him more on economic issues, framing energy policy as an economic argument could play into his favor. Obama's track record on energy (Solyndra, anyone?) really overall is very weak as one looks at the failed investment and also his waffling over Keystone.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
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To: Yosemitest

Wow! Those last two charts say SO much! What a great email/FB/post card those would make, side by side.


21 posted on 10/06/2012 6:12:37 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: R_Kangel

Supposedly the refineries have fixed the problem.
It is expected to have higher prices beginning
Of week then go back down again.
Not sure if back down means to current prices or before the issue.
Even if it went to $10/gal. California will still
Go to Obama.


22 posted on 10/06/2012 6:18:48 PM PDT by Morris70
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To: Kaslin

High gas prices are the result of the culture of corruption of the Republican Party.

/Sarcasm/


23 posted on 10/06/2012 6:19:46 PM PDT by ripley
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To: Jane Long
Feel free to do it.
Their source is under them, so just click on them.
24 posted on 10/06/2012 6:23:33 PM PDT by Yosemitest (It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
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To: ripley
Wrong! High gas prices are the result of Obama helping out his buddies at Halliburton.

:)

25 posted on 10/06/2012 6:37:22 PM PDT by Enterprise ("Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." Voltaire)
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To: diamond6

Me to. Just hurts my wife who has to commute from here in Placerville to Sac. Funny my deisel is cheaper now then regular.


26 posted on 10/06/2012 6:39:41 PM PDT by crazydad (-` sd)
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To: Kaslin
Will Forecast of Rising Gas Price Affect Presidential Race?

FORECAST?

Here in Central Indiana it jumped 40¢ toDAY!

27 posted on 10/06/2012 7:22:18 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Kaslin

didn’t we read last month that the Saudis announced they were going to pump more oil and lower gas prices to help Obama’s chances??


28 posted on 10/06/2012 7:47:04 PM PDT by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Kaslin

Remember all the media’s stories about people vacationing close to home due to high gas prices, of of the rare times they let the man on the street comment, that was prior to 2008 of coarse.

Don’t dwell on that...I mean who can afford a vacation now anyway?


29 posted on 10/06/2012 7:57:14 PM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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To: diamond6
You...are a man of quality!
30 posted on 10/06/2012 8:06:59 PM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: familyop

Dropped by my office in Burbank today, station near there had Super Unleaded at $5.98 galLon, I filled up there two days ago @ $4.90 gal.


31 posted on 10/06/2012 10:22:02 PM PDT by StayoutdaBushesWay (Every man dies, but not every man really lives.)
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To: Kaslin

What could be worse is gasoline shortages caused by drivers keeping more fuel in their tanks.


32 posted on 10/06/2012 11:13:00 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Take two Aspirin and call me in November - Obama for Hindmost.)
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To: Morris70
Even if it went to $10/gal. California will still Go to Obama.

I agree. I am convinced that there are many folks who are willing to pay more for "better environment"...

33 posted on 10/06/2012 11:24:19 PM PDT by L.A.Justice
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To: Kaslin

Clowart Piven and the housing bubble propping: you can get a new plan only if you promise to screw it up again and again.


34 posted on 10/07/2012 4:06:43 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security Whorocracy & hate:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: L.A.Justice

Selfish materialist greedy communists never disliked destroying and killing around themselves if they did not get their satisfaction.


35 posted on 10/07/2012 4:08:48 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security Whorocracy & hate:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: StayoutdaBushesWay
Oil prices jumped 4 percent on Thursday ...    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/04/us-markets-oil-idUSBRE88G02F20121004
 
 
 
And they use this EXCUSE to raise GASOLINE in Indiana more than 10% and 20% in CALIFORNIA???

36 posted on 10/07/2012 5:07:16 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Kaslin
"Obama’s widest lead is in the area of energy policy. Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters trust him more in this area, while 42% have more confidence in Romney.

Yup...

The election is over...

37 posted on 10/07/2012 5:09:15 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Yosemitest

Hey, where did you get that gas price chart? ABC radio news is reporting gas prices this morning, but reporter threw in, “Prices we haven’t seen since 2008”. Now I don’t remember too well, but I KNOW it was nowhere near $3.00/gallon!


38 posted on 10/07/2012 7:09:55 AM PDT by jughandle
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To: jughandle

Never mind, apparently it was pretty bad. Man, I’m getting old.


39 posted on 10/07/2012 7:26:29 AM PDT by jughandle
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To: Enterprise

Can Halliburton still exist if the mainstream media no longer mentions them?

(Herr Goebbles would be proud of all those visceral Progressives who are attempting to manipulate reality.)

IMHO

Regards


40 posted on 10/07/2012 7:29:07 AM PDT by ripley
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