I think Romney beats Obama in sort of a flip of Obama v McCain.
He will take back FL, NC, Indiana and Virginia. Win Ohio, Colorado and Nevada, and might sneak a win in Iowa and/or Wisconsin.
Maybe if things really go right Romney could get NH, Mich or PA...though I doubt it.
I don’t even think a Reagan EC blowout is possible for either side the way the country is divided.
This poll is a bit flawed because it has a GOP skew. That said, it is clear this race is tied with independents running to Romney with at least a 9 point margin or so right now...with some polls much higher.