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But the Ohio poll also included an 11-point advantage for self-described Democrats — 40 percent to 29 percent for Republicans. Last week’s poll had a narrower 5-point advantage for Democrats. . (In 2008, the party identification split was 39 percent Democrat and 31 percent Republican, according to exit polls.)

So NBC/Marxist has to assume that the democrat turnout advantage will be LARGER than 2008 in Ohio (taking no account of documented democrat plunge in early voting) and still Romney gained ground. If they used anything coming close to an accurate sample he would easily be ahead in Ohio.

taking no account of documented democrat plunge in early voting

Actually, I think they're using early voting as their excuse. At least, I saw that Rasmussen is claiming that 2/3 of early voters in Ohio are going for Obama. So I think Ras upped his D sample from 3% to 5% or something like that.

I think it's BS that 2/3 of early votes are going for O. But that's what they're using to up their D sample.

Personally, I think they're focusing all of their calls in the urban areas. I speculate that it's too easy for them to consider Cleveland a Northern sample, Columbus a Central sample, and Cinci a Southern sample. All three cities are big-time D cesspools.

The burbs at least to NE Ohio don't look anything like they did in 2008 as far as D enthusiasm goes.