Posted on 10/11/2012 9:21:38 AM PDT by smoothsailing
Data Collected: 10/07/2012 - 10/09/2012
Release Date: 10/10/2012
CA Still Safely Blue, But Romney Slices 8 Points Off Obama's Lead After Romney's Strong First Debate Performance:
The effects of President Barack Obama's falter in the first debate with Mitt Romney are not just being felt in battleground states, according to SurveyUSA's latest tracking poll of California, conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. Obama had led by 22 points in a SurveyUSA tracking poll released 4 weeks ago. Obama leads by 14 points today, an 8-point improvement for Romney.....
Unclear is whether the Obama erosion is fleeting or long-lasting. Obama 53%, Romney 39%, in today's numbers. Obama carried California by 24 points in 2008, so today Obama is running 10 points weaker than he ran 4 years ago, 8 points weaker than he ran 4 weeks ago. Among Independents, Obama led by 14 in September, trails by 9 in October, a 23-point right turn among the most coveted voters. One explanation: the number of Romney supporters who tell SurveyUSA they are voting "for Mitt Romney" as opposed to "against Barack Obama" is way up.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
Interesting that Obama is only getting 86% of the black vote and 62% of the Hispanic vote. This is in liberal California.
I’m a Californian, and would be thrilled to see our state help Mitt Romney. But, realistically, we conservatives are in the minority. We’ll be content cheering on the rest of the country as the Marxist-in-Chief is thrown out on his lazy, debt ridden a$$.
If you add 10% to McCain’s state-by-state numbers, Romney ends up with 273 EV’s, vs Obama’s 265. Even if Romney wins, EV-wise, the margin will be narrow.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2008
I noticed that too. Also Obama is only +14 in a D+15 sample. Romney is winning indies by 9 points!
IN CALIFORNIA!!!!!
Would be sweet for romney to take 55 ev's out of zero's column.
Hell, might even mean 1 or 2 R's for state offices!
One can only dream.
What happens if you add 15% to McCain’s numbers? 20%? :o)
Sure looks like you may be able to help with the popular vote.
I’m with you on the realistically part, winning Cali is one heck of a stretch, but wouldn’t it be great if it turned out no better for Zippo than 53% Romney 47%! Imagine how much better almost all of the other states would be doing for Romney!
If Mitt wins California, most of the "swing states" may not matter.
It would be awesome is Mitt could manage a Californey win.
What brings my expectations down is when I see people in the streets who have no clue who Pelosi or Harry Reid is but when asked who can see Russia from her front door they say Palin makes me lose hope.
I’m in Riverside County. I have seen Obozo ads here, and wondered “why”, if California is already locked up. Most freepers don’t know that there are some large areas of California that are relatively conservative. Whole counties, larger than most eastern seaboard states. The problem for us down south is the black hole LA. It’s gravity sucks in our taxes.
Can you comprehend the thought of California’s 55 EC votes going to Romney? I’m afraid to think it.
A friend of mine escaped from a conservative county in Maryland because he said the black hole (Baltimore) was sucking the state dry.
If wishes were horses, beggars would ride. Still, we can hope.
That's not right. If Romney did 10% better across the board...state by state...it would flip 209 EV's (by the old EV's...not the new after the 2010 census).
That would give Romney the win at 382 - 156.
Now...I don't expect that to happen...but a 10% movement across the board makes this election not even close...
Sorry, Gas prices are set by supply & demand, and that supply is very heavily distorted by Government regulations and rules, not oil companies.
I'm not saying that happens to Romney next month, but I'm sure a few surprises will be sprung that night.
Don't jump to early conclusions. 4 weeks remain, which, in presidential politics, is just this side of forever.
Keep the faith, Valk!
CA....
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