Posted on 10/15/2012 5:56:46 AM PDT by sunmars
After several months in which Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson appeared to have a comfortable lead over Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, the race is now virtually even.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Nelson earning 46% of the vote, while Mack picks up support from 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
A week ago, Nelson held a double-digit lead. It is highly unlikely that public opinion shifted 10 points within a week. That suggests either last week's results or this week's may be an outlier. Polling theory suggests that one out of every 20 polls will produce results outside the margin of error.
In August and September, Nelson had a lead in between these two most recent polls. Rasmussen Reports will poll the race again in the near future.
People paying way more attention now, it makes no sense that Mack was that far down in numbers last week.
Since it appears that Romney has pulled into a comfortable lead in Florida, it looks like his coattails might pull Mack over the top as well.
Thank god....! we need the senate in the Republicans hands....
I hope this race is finally settling in after huge swings in either direction.
If it’s within the MOE, hopefully Romney (who’s trending upward in FL) can drag Mack over the line.
I have a funny feeling last 2 weeks we will see most of these senate races tip the GOP, even Akin in Missouri, just a feeling that they will as more and more pay attention.
Finally! I’ve been frustrated with the VA Sen race too. Both races appear to finally be trending in the right direction. However I still don’t see the GOP fighting the ad fight nearly as strongly as I’d like. Here in VA Tim Kaine is a snake.
I nervously hope this doesn't indicate anything about future achievements in such a high office should he win.
Leni
An incumbent at 46% less than a month before an election is not a good sign for the incumbent. As Morris continually points out, most if not all of those “undecided” voters should break for the challenger. Even if it breaks at just 2 to 1 against the incumbent, Mack “should” win.
ping
I’m always worried about Rasmussen’s Monday poll for Romney because of the weekend.
If all he ever does is vote against obamacare, that would outweigh 6 years of any and all achievements or lack thereof.
I'm in VA, but have lived in other places. Tim Kaine is s snake outside VA as well.
He should be hammering the repeal of Obamacare to all the
seniors in Florida!
Agree but he cannot be worse then Nelson
Agreed.
Any port in a storm, I guess, LOL.
Leni
Keep in mind that the stronger Romney gets, the stronger Mack gets. The more enthused Republican voters are to turn out for Romney, the more it helps Mack.
Once again, incumbents that can’t get to 50% = big trouble.
I can’t see there being a lot of ticket-splitters but, then again, it’s happened before.
yep and anybody but obama
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