Posted on 10/20/2012 6:37:54 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
You just have to watch Rassmussen’s number over the past three months. His Sunday and Monday results almost always show a serious rise for Obama, and then if level back on Tues/Wed. No conspiracy, just basic observation skills.
Lacey,
Try again. Sometimes links can get cached.
Alternatively you can try this link:
InterceptPoint,
I am showing the Saturday data.
Alternatively, try this link:
“Swing State Tracker: Romney 50 Obama 46”
That’s the bigger stat, as O led R by 2 in the swing state tracker early in the week. This means a 6 point swing in the swing states over 5 days. Barring some ridiculous (and somehow effective) October Surprise, the election is Romney’s. No doubt.
Here is confirmation about Swing States.
Romney hits 50% for the first time!!!!
This IS looking more and more like the blowout we are sensing.
What does Ras consider swing states?
Right now, including ME CD2, my WCS is Romney - 292; Obama -246
Scott moving the Mitt marker to 50, slowly but surely, just as I said.
Your link was good, thanks. I’ve had the problem before. How would I been able to get the correct page had you not supplied me with the link?
I tried multiple ways including a search for Rasmussen which got me to the site but the results still showed for yesterday rather than today.
With all the up and down emotions over the swing in poll numbers it would be interesting to know how many on FR respond to polling. I don’t and most friends don’t, so accurately could these polls reflect conservative votes?
Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
“You have to wonder what the 10% response rate does to the final product. “
Well, ponder this, then. I mentioned to a conservative business-owner friend of mine that I totally dodge all political and polling calls, and he said he did the same thing. So we briefly discussed if this might be a trend among conservatives in general, and we thought that might be possible. And then he added that in conversations with some of he liberals he has to deal with that they made a point of exclaiming how eager they were to make their opinions known to the pollsters. So, now you may have a trend of conservatives dodging the pollsters and the liberals eagerly taking their calls. It really makes you wonder how accurate some of these polls really are.
Lacey,
Typically one reason for the “old page” could be that the page is cached in your browser memory. Typically the easiest thing to do is to close ALL browser sessions and start again
Also, you can go to the browser settings and remove all cached data
Also, in some browsers you can set how often your browser refreshes its cache or should even have a cache
But in most cases, you can just shut down all browser sessions and try again
Then again (and this is the software engineer in me :)) it is MORE than possible that Rasmussen is using more than one server to serve up his traffic (a cluster of servers if you will) and maybe some had been updated and some had not and the server serving your ISP or Node had not been updated.
In that case it was ALL Rasmussen’s fault!! :)
You could be right but the data to prove it is not readily available. I'm hoping that some Freeper has an Excel file to share so we can do an actual analysis.
And you should note that Rasmussen weights his phone results based on his expected voting D/R/I populations. So that should make his results completely independent of the the number of Dems, Republicans or Independents who were actually at home and answering the phone. As a result, it is not obvious to me how a weekend bias would leak into the Raz results.
It is noteworthy to point out that Obama’s overall approval has moved down to 47 and the Strong Approve/Strong Disapprove Index is at -16! Those are really bad numbers for King Turdhead.
In that case it was ALL Rasmussen’s fault!! :)
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Barack, is that you?
I have such a hard time believing this number. OMG. If this number is accurate, then the outcome of this election is pretty irrelevant, as these people will all bring us crashing down eventually. A country just cannot survive that many moronic people.
FWIW, I hang up on pollsters, as does my husband. I trust them as much as the MSM.
Yeah!!
That is an important point that many of us are missing in this “obsession” over the topline numbers.
-16% shows intensity. This is a point that we all need to remember. My state (TX) allows early voting and the FIRST day of early voting is Monday, 10/22.
You can bet your leopard print underwear that I will be there first thing in the morning on Monday, before going to work, to vote. Keep in mind, this is Texas, where the ONLY thing that is in doubt is the scale of the defeat of President Obama.
I can imagine, most other conservatives and even moderates feel like that.
Secondly, the Job Approval number i.e. 47%. Historically, your final vote total will mirror that to a tee. If I think you are doing a “good or OK or even barely acceptable” job, I will vote for you.
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