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To: My Favorite Headache

I have to admit to being just as deeply suspicious of this outfit’s polling methods as I am of many others.

Case in point:

Their daily tracking poll for Oct 18

Romney 60% / Obama 39%

Their daily tracking poll for Oct 19

Romney 51% / Obama 48%

http://unskewedpolls.com/dailytrackingpoll.cfm

....whatever the real numbers, and even allowing for the normally-stated margins of error, they’re claiming an 18% swing overnight here? To Obama? And now an 8% swing back in the other direction? With the enormous daily swings they publish, then for sure, they’ll occasionally hit on a correct figure (stopped clock twice a day, and all that) but overall, their numbers just suggest poor, even amateur polling methods.

I don’t doubt that Romney is likely ahead right now. But some of the numbers on this site are as laughable as most of the other polling outfits around. Different, but just as laughable.


14 posted on 10/20/2012 11:09:22 PM PDT by Zajko (Never wrestle with a pig. You'll both get dirty, but the pig likes it.)
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To: Zajko

I think all these polls are an interesting read, but I try to keep in mind there’s only one poll that counts, and it ends on the 6th of November.

I agree with your take on this one.


17 posted on 10/20/2012 11:17:18 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Fooled folks once didn't you. Revenge is spelled, "VOTE RED". You're going down donkeys...)
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